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This time is is indeed different in comparison to financial crisis. Rates ultra low and fed balance sheet at -$4.5 trillion. They are trying to get in front of the next crisis to somewhat reload. I believe it is too late but what do I know. There only other option is to print another $4.5...

Fed been fighting deflation and they are winning on some fronts like housing and autos. Of course the high dollar items that require loans at ultra low rates. Auto loan companies starting to pullback cause too many defaults. Feds think they can raise rates and taper QE..it's a pipe dream and...

Since Trump won there has not been a correction of more than 5%. That's not healthy. And bonds keep going up. One or the other is going to shit to bed this summer.

Last couple days of the month will be interesting. I cannot imagine funds are underweight tech currently so can't see much buying pressure occurring. Maybe oil is straw that breaks camels back.

I dunno. What are your thoughts?

Mkt trading a bit heavy right now. Definitely seems different versus other BTFD rallies. Has the feel of distribution. But then again, we've seen this before.

I would never be concerned about a 10% rally in the market in one day. I would be concerned about a 10%, or for that matter 20% move down in one day. That's why there are circuit breakers.

The last part IMO is crazy. Anything is possible. You do understand tail risk right?

It's all about risk management. As long as one understands their blow up risk value and sizes accordingly, one can be comfortable in their position and know if shit hits the fan, they live to trade another day.

Bulls have gotten awfully quiet. Are the ones out there still waiting for the high 2400's? Do you ever go to sleep at night thinking one morning you will wake up and some blackswan will blow out your account in one day? Is it really worth trying to squeeze the last 1 or 2% out of this market?

Before we see new high I am seeing test of at least 2400 and even possibly 2380.

Done posting here. Too much going on at full time job to post every trade. Good luck to all and thanks for sharing.

F Flat 28

S 2427.5 sep

Flat 33.75

Short 32

Stopped 30.5

Short 28.75

Flat 29.5

Long 27.25