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  1. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    They already foretell 75 and 50 in the next two meetings. Whether it is priced in some I am not sure. But rate goes up, growth stocks like TSLA will go down, it is already halved.
  2. mervyn

    Stocks can catch up once inflation data starts to ease

    How’s your Mr. Huang doing? It must go up, my retirement depends on it-:)(
  3. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Core inflation is supply chain problem, energy is war problem. QE and unemployment can be managed slowly.
  4. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    The Fed pretends at work, we know they are not a real buyer of treasury papers, just a holding basket for small liquidity. We need to cut a deal with the Russians to end the war, pause the supply chain arguments with the Chinese, otherwise keeping rate hikes won’t stop the inflation. Got to get...
  5. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Today is not my day, 15 points in red. On another note, 10 TQQQ 17.50 put is a hair above water, not sure I will get the assignment or not, it closed at 17.57, in the last 60 seconds came back from LOD 17.47.
  6. mervyn

    Just sold 1 AMZN October 21, 2022 put 109 strike price

    Na, it is a troll post.
  7. mervyn

    World’s top chip equipment suppliers halt business with China

    Let the chips fall where they may. I can only assume those US persons in China are mostly in management positions, not scientists or line workers. That’s why the chip stocks are down. I own lot of chips stocks, AMD and NVDA in particular. Oh well, selling covered calls.
  8. mervyn

    Just sold 1 AMZN October 21, 2022 put 109 strike price

    I have done covered trades for many years. The only thing to be aware about this strategy is that it is a wash sales if you take the assignment and sell it with 30 days. The broker recorded over $30k wash sales on my tax form and I was pissed.
  9. mervyn

    1NQ 50pt vs 10NQ 5pt which is more favorable?

    You can try 1x5 first to see if it works, then scale up.
  10. mervyn

    Mar-a-Lago Raided by FBI

    liquidity squeeze is on https://apnews.com/article/business-new-york-donald-trump-government-and-politics-lawsuits-f7c2018fd5eec25d3b949c677bb4dcb5 NEW YORK (AP) — New York’s attorney general has asked a judge to bar Donald Trump’s company from selling or transferring assets without court...
  11. mervyn

    World’s top chip equipment suppliers halt business with China

    there is a physics law beyond what we can pack into a chip, everyone is researching the next gen tech, simply can’t dismiss anyone from anywhere.
  12. mervyn

    1NQ 50pt vs 10NQ 5pt which is more favorable?

    I don’t trade NQ often but every time I tag NQ, easily 30 points or $600 in my pocket on 1 contract. However since NQ is dropped to 11k, 30 points is 0.3% movement, vs when it is at 15k level, 0.2% swing. So 10 lots on 5 points is no brainer, probably less than 2000 ticks if you catch the swing...
  13. mervyn

    World’s top chip equipment suppliers halt business with China

    You must be in a fantasy land when you write the first paragraph, or just live in your imagination. Are you reading the same news or just made those up? Tim Cook hasn’t been to China since 2018, after Canada detained that lady from Huwei. Is Tim Cook scared to be a pawn and got detained? I bet...
  14. mervyn

    1NQ 50pt vs 10NQ 5pt which is more favorable?

    5 points in NQ happens more often than 50 points move, the odd is overwhelmingly favored the former.
  15. mervyn

    World’s top chip equipment suppliers halt business with China

    Exactly, where the loyalty lies, not to China, given the recent news on sanctions and all that. If statistic model is correct and, if human intelligence are belt curves distribution, then there are more high IQ individuals in China than in the US. Someone somewhere on the earth will make the...
  16. mervyn

    World’s top chip equipment suppliers halt business with China

    The operative word here is thus far, perhaps in our life time we don’t see them catching up. But what about next generation? They got space station and supersonic tech already. If they catch up with chip tech, game over.
  17. mervyn

    World’s top chip equipment suppliers halt business with China

    Intel 50% profit is made in China. Qualcomm best chip got the exemption to sell to Huwai new Mate 50 flagship phone while the phone doesn’t have Google service. Anyway, I am shorting TSM and ASML. The researches are just money and time, now the Chinese can fund those money, time that everyone...
  18. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    I am happy to be out, good hour.
  19. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    I am happy to be out, good hour.
  20. mervyn

    Simple question about options

    Jump-diffusion model for short term volatility calc, but of course prop firm can always improve the data and submit a spread, or to make market.
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