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I personally think the Fed might cut starting with 25 bps, not because of Trump's pressure but because they are seeing strong signs of an imminent recession commencing in Q1 or Q2 of next year. Just look at important economic indicators such as the Leading Economic Index, Real Retail Sales...

age 25: scrape together enough $ to buy a single family dump of a house and move in. Fix it up, rent it out and move on to the next fixer upper, repeat process every year. By age 40 you will have a nice portfolio of 15 income producing properties which will come in handy when the corporate world...

Fidelity

might I ask the nature of your business?

TD Ameritrade took away my real time data a couple of months ago.

Over the past 20 years what has been your CAROR and Sharpe?

I did some analysis on this a while back. It is very hard to pick bottoms in penny stocks based purely on price/technical history. A penny stock that screens as having a momentum breakout will likely not have follow through. Run ups can be influenced heavily by manipulation or a 'pump' phase of...

I remember interviewing at their office back in 1996. I believe they got bought by GS shortly after. They were concentrated in bunch of trend following CTAs and we all know how that went.

If one of the Dem candidates, eg Kamala Harris or Elizabeth Warren made that their main agenda I might be tempted to vote for them. This current system we have is basically government condoned FRAUD

Can't read the article because it is members only. But I can't imagine they are painting the entire south with a broad brush. States like NC, TX, AZ, FL and several others have growing economies + populations when several of the Northeast states are actually shrinking both economically and...

The verbiage about 'volatility expansions' and trading 'tail risk' appears to be mostly marketing bullshit. The track record is highly correlated (~0.7) to simplistic trend following.

I like Harding's candor and honest answers. Pleasure to listen to. The interviewer though is a bit weird and intense for a Bloomberg interview.

with $20m I would quit my business and travel the world for the rest of my days...that would make me happy.

on a side note, when you backtest forex do you account for the rollover swap rates? For example if you are long $10k of USDMXN you get debited about $2.00 or if you are short USDCHF you get debited about $1.00. For this reason I prefer to backtest on backadjusted CME currency futures where it is...

buy 1 contract = $2.25 sell 1 contract = $2.25

ok my bad. TOS is a bit pricier than IB for futures $2.25 per side. They have all the months and you can do any month offered by the exchange. For example one of my positions is GEZ20-GEZ21 calendar.

i do most of my spread trading in thinkorswim. But I used to do it in TWS a couple years back so my advice is going from memory and could be off...on the Portfolio window right click on the spread position (not either of the legs) and there should be an option to close the position. Then in the...

Not sure how your PNL can be moving if the bid/ask is static. What market are you trading? Yes, you can enter a profit-take limit or a stop loss on the calendar spread's price.

Contact GreenTrader CPA, they are well versed in this type of thing. In the past I have used their affiliated attorney on a couple of occasions.

The jobs and businesses are being taxed out of existence.