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This jerk-off just called the current rally a sucker's rally. He also, told people to sell the pound right at the bottom!!!!! Don't forget that.

Nobody claimed one was harder to trade than the other.

Hi, Is there a way to get rid of all the theta risk? In terms of manipulation it is still much harder to do this in fx. Stocks are MUCH easier to manipulate... all you need are a few million to push the small caps around. The CB of Britain recently required 300 million to put a bottom in...

True, however that risk is simply shifted to time and also liquidity risk (options are less liquid than the underlying spot markets)

Let's see if I can get this down (it's late here.) :D 1) Default risk is ever present with single stocks and there really isn't a great way to manage it or predict it. If a stock starts droping due to a problem with a company you will probably be facing a huge gap at the open that will blast...

You sure about that? http://www.arabianbusiness.com/557116-uae-sticking-to-dollar-forex-reserves--central-bank-chief

FX is harder if you over-leverage (this is a risk that you add). It is one of the least risky markets since the 24/5 open hours allow you to manage stops much better without big gaps. Also unlike stocks, currencies can't go out of business over-night. Btw, everything I mentioned about...

LOl, I left out the EURO since having a union as a reserve currency is one of the riskiest things you could implement. Forget that many EURO countries are at risk of defaulting? Also, at 1.4 Germany's export sector will suffer greatly (basically te backbone of the EUR).

Devalue against what? The AUD? The NZD?? I see no special value in those smaller economies, yet the market thinks otherwise (uh-oh).

The incentive could come in the form of a weak USD.

BLSH: This nails it and frankly I think that this is exactly what the last 2 years have been about (think tanks at work).

The statement that fx is efficient is completely false. However, one should not assume that a revision to the mean exists in forex (there is no such thing as value investing in this market). But it is true that small caps can be even less efficient.

This is actually a good thread and gets to the core of the issue. Although I am arguing against your position, I see the following: I think it will be important to invest in or trade asset classes that do not correlate with the general market and are independent of a large demographic trend...

detective, could you give us an example of a recent small cap trade? I am asking since most of the stocks I find correlate with the SP500. Very few are independent of it. I would like to also mention that fx and ES are markets for very well capitalized traders (100,000 USD at least).

Very true that it is easy to time (short) huge, over-extended rallies in small caps. However, this ease come with a nasty price: 1) There are fewer stocks like these since most now correlate with the SP500. 2) At one point you will experience a liquidity crunch like Timmy Sykes fund did...

I disagree 100%. Your second to last sentence says it: Why not just trade the ES and Forex, but cut down on leverage? Small caps might be less efficient, but that doesn't mean that they are easier to time. They tend to be less liquid making the moves choppy and very hard to time. Also they...

At 2.0, the German economy will be no more.

Take your manipulated, commie currency and shove it up your yellow fucking ass... I'm getting tired of this shit.

...and the great Neke was no more. RIP.

That's the spirt! The larger neke's DDs, the louder the chearing section gets. Go for it Champ!