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Do you have a reference for that number? Thanks.

I think you are right, particularly selling calls if they have them. As others wrote, it may be safer to wait for some sort of confirmation on the 10 and beyond. I did not look at the 5th and below, but your case is rock solid. I was also thinking whether it is not more sensible to play...

Hey Martinghoul. Thanks. You are a good fellow!

:-) . American King of Belize: You seem to have a very good timing model. Also, your forecast is consistent with what I have had since last Thursday, (It is posted in history of this thread), and which was still valid going to today. The SPY did however not confirm a potential up move, while the...

08 (126'08) was the top today. But they did not fill me :mad:. Market now at 04/05.

Hey Shortie: will you pay for the prize to the (second) winner? :) (the first winner might be shortie getting some nice trading calls). :-) More seriously: I think Bone is a good guy. He is stating what he thinks. There is no right or wrong in trading/investing. Since Bone is now our...

Bone: You may be surprised, but I agree with you on being careful in shorting the top, because even when one is right it is not a good idea for a second reason: if the topping and the bottoming takes time, during that period of time the return will be lower even if one were to nail the top...

It is in the green! (I am looking at the QQQQs, will SPY follow today?). TJ Shortie Out :cool:

Are you sure? Is it not wiser to buy the dips? Double check whether your are walking upside down. :) Folks: How high will this up leg go?

Are we heading higher, and this retreat is a trap? Any stocks that are poised to go higher when market goes higher? I would love to see bears covering their shorts in a rally.

10-year futures at 126'04. I am going to try it on short side. I might even add if it goes to 08. Doubt the buyers will be that stupid, but who knows.

price is not a one way street--- speculators also sell to make money on price depreciation. It is called short selling, which I believe you know, but your above comment suggests that you do not deeply understand it even if you recognize it.

Sure. I mentioned the 10year because Bone (and Maverick?) are bullish to the horns. They are bragging about it, probably on the day of the top.

In your option trade, probs on your OTM short options are more than 50% on your side, and they rise with time. In Big D, one can assume 50-50. So it is not the same comparison.

His followers will buy today, so the clock will start tomorrow for P&L. Also, use the 10-year and not the 20 to 30 years. Keep the score Shorite, we need a fair arbiter.

So retry.

When you find a smooth-talking post like this one where there are expressions like "longs are making a killing", time has changed since the 80s, agreement with past information to project "authority" , and if the poster sells some sort of service, I would consider getting ready to leave the...

Just curious: why you did not try to identify the weekly bottom?

Sir Galahad wishes to inform King Arthur of Belize that buyers of straddles/strangles may take leads at beginning of battles (it is what should be expected almost all the time), and that a secret to victory of his Majesty's army may mainly reside in first waiting for the enemy to bleed. The...

Pull back is placing now. EUR/USD is now below 1.28. Would the move stop before 1.2790 and 1.2780? Bonds also rose, and stocks future declined. NASDAQ-100 now at 1814 (one point above midpoint of 1805 and 1823). Are we now close to the moment of truth?