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FalconView: I was in a hurry, and I mistyped your initials. I assume I can use FV. I typed FL in instead--- like Floria. Stanford: Do you check volatility? If yes, what do you check? If no, I can suggest where you may want to look. Think of volty as blood pressure. You want to monitor it...

FL and Michael: You moved the spot where you hang out! I just went to the other thread to post a message I got about timing the NDX/QQQQ, and read the message posted by FL. I would have not known you moved if I did not go there. Usually I follow threads using the forum feature, and since...

You mentioned a number of times the Arcsine law. Could you discuss it a bit as it relates to coin flipping? I read a piece about it in relation to coin flipping, and the author of that piece wrote some correct, but also some incorrect statements. All: in a next post, I am going to...

Your point about isolating the news is a good point. I have a different view on "after the news is released" in the case of the overall market: The market takes time to incorporate the news, and it can be a way street for the price direction.

Thanks for adjusting my understanding of his post. I thought he was discussing it as coin flip + news, as opposed to what you explained. Try not worry about the trolls, just keep focused on the topic, and know that there are people enjoying what you write, including Yours Truly!

Could you share what you understood and learned, explained in you own words? The comment was about (part of) a post. I did not read the whole thread, and therefore cannot say about its worth. What others make or lose in trading is of no consequence on me, because it does not take from me and...

Coin flipping has no memory.

I am surprised that the above post did not contain other expressions such as : "If this does not help you, I do not know what can". "How do I do it, glad you ask", "Let me tell you what it is: it is not A, it is not B..., it is not Z", etc. I come across such expressions on the internet a lot...

link

where is your p/l posting?

Could you give give a proof for the 10/1 and 100/1 ratios? Unless you can give a proof, it is prudent if one assumes that the statement is wrong.

Where is the track record ?

When the same number is an income you found it big, when it is a loss you find it small. The capital loss is even WORSE! Why: because 0.23% is not small as it is SIX MONTHS of interest income on the twos. The buyers of the twos lose 0.23% in only two weeks, but need 26 weeks to earn the same...

Do you a need a judge?

What is great in trading is that time decides on who is wrong and who is right. When ZN futures were in the 126 range, bulls were so confident. What is amazing is that they were bullish at the TOP (despite the warning that it might be the top which they found a ridiculous proposition) ! Now...

I read the book "after the trade is made", or some similar title, that discussed how money is made by brokerage firms. It would be useful if you could discuss some of the other options available to wall street heads to make money.

What if there are no guys capitalizing the prop firms, and that the capitalization is rather from the client traders (not all traders use their maximum margins and/or not at the same time)? (like a banking model). In addition a new client can be a potential client to other financial...

Could you discuss things in terms of an index rather than an individual stock?

We have some similar thinking. I have not looked at RW, but for a normal distribution, I have worked with 0.7979 unit of the standard deviation (which is mean absolute deviation). Do I get you right that you decide on a reference in order not to be fooled by RW?

what is the definition/characterization of that envelope, and/or how to compute it?