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How much does Mr. Market charge for mentorship? If he charged you, did you get a good deal?

Stanford: Something that may make your eyes open wider, and hopefully not bring forth bad memories. The keyword is: arbitrage (based on options). Did you look into this direction?

:) Surprised you did not ask if they like it rare or well done? The answer is .... "saignant" (as in french word). They never cook, b/c raw is more efficient 'n tastier in wall street.

I find this bull leg more scary than the April-March because it is coming out of a correction. If it breaks the april high, the bears among us may get burned. I did not like that rise in the second half of the afternoon. Bears need to show damage tomorrow Thursday to put a claim to the...

LOL!

Are you serious? Everything is possible with bulls full of cash (and greed). However, since 9:50AM, even in EUR/USD which has been rising ferociously, every upmove is met with selling once getting close to highs (eur/usd 1.3434). Markets are trying to say something. Let us see what happens at...

Falconview: Could you write out the strikes as it is hard to follow with the words. If you get the direction wrong, the one with the deepest ITM leg would hurt the most. I am actually surprised by your prediction. Everything is possible in the market, but I noticed the sharp reversal...

Could I ask why you are long? Very interested to read your viewpoint.

All markets rolled at the same time! Equities are back at the bottom of the day. It was quite a show. Watch what happened on your charts. Is the market going to give second chance later today for bulls who bought at the top?

EUR/USD at 1.3434. A good looking number for a resistance, and stop of rise today and start of roll? It is the print at 9:52AM. Let us see if markets are synchronized.

Market is green. I think it is a trap for bulls. Who is fading it? What do you guys like to eat? Rib/sirloin steak? How do you like it rare/well done?

Falconview: what are your models saying? Yesterday the market had trouble moving up in the band forecast yesterday. Yesterday's top was right at the middle of the band mentioned above. Stanford: If such forecast is correct, how could it help you?

This represents clear and good understanding. I would try to avoid information overload. If the short side is candidate for assignment it means you long side is way deep ITM. So it would mean that you need to roll both up if you think the move is still going up, and want to play it. Maybe...

Good indeed! How did you do it? A smile?

To all: If you can generate a strategy that leads to trade outcome that form a normal distribution (holding time should be constant), I think I have the knowledge to turn it to a profitable strategy.

Master: If you can share your excel, I would be interested in a copy. If you cannot share, I would understand. Excellent work!

My understanding was that only one action is made. If you switch to one action only what would happen to hold time, and success rate?

Shortie: good work! Some questions: 1. What platform are you using? Is it in excel.?If yes, could I ask for a copy. 2. What is the success rate of the trades?

the 12.30 in there is strange. The change in the 510 call seems alright. (roughly half the distance between 509 and 515. I would have done this spread: buy 500 call, and sold 515. So the 500 call would have gained more than what the 510 gained (probably gained 60 percent of the move). Le...

I do not think you are correct. For instance what if the random part leads to the selection of trades that lead to paths that has less excursion (mean reversion). What if the method is designed (directly or by consequence) to reduce holding time? For instance it would interest to know the...