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  1. bone

    $90 dollars to invest, where to begin?

    ES, as a Moderator he might see you as an authority figure and take your original advice seriously. Youth can be impressionable. But then again, how can anyone take anything posted on ET seriously?
  2. bone

    Paper Trading to find a system

    "Hmmm...what about S/R?" In a higher volatility, break-out trend formation kind of market you will get smoked fading/timing S/R levels. That's where the trendline and channel break-out systems really shine. Vice-versa in your lower volatility, range-bound markets. The undeniable truth is...
  3. bone

    $90 dollars to invest, where to begin?

    "Why can't you just do what teenagers do and go out and find your future wife?" Maybe if he's Amish and wants to build furniture or milk cows the rest of his life. Jeez.
  4. bone

    Paper Trading to find a system

    This is just my opinion, but going back ten years is a detriment given events of the past 24 months. IMO, only backtest for 2 years. You don't want to include market cycles that emphasize mean reversion and timing over break-out trends and momentum. Again, just me, but I would advise...
  5. bone

    Correlation: WTI crude and S&P 500

    M22, you are definitely on the right track - relative value trading with a "boosted correlator edge". Suggestion: Buy ATM SPY calls and Sell ATM airline/airline ETF calls? It is a delta and premium-neutral spread for the most part, you are selling off the theta (time) component, and if...
  6. bone

    More & more empty store fronts in Chicago. Beware commercial Real Estate.

    "Burbs are for those who can't afford to live in the lofts, Condo's or Apartments." Spoken like a true bachelor. I didn't move to the North Shore until my second kid was born. If you feel that way about commercial real estate, why not sell ATM REIT/ETF calls and buy ATM SPY calls as a...
  7. bone

    Correlation: WTI crude and S&P 500

    The missing piece which takes things to the next level is that there are are other instruments outside the equity and energy spaces that have very high frequency intraday and daily close correlations to the S&P 500. No one correlator is perfect, but if you can model a basket the effects and...
  8. bone

    why Wall Street traders win and you don't

    Silly premise advanced by the OP - unless you are making markets for 30K up blocks (liquidity taker's choice) in dark pools. There is no guy at MS or GS scalping stocks using tic data and a a trade station technical study like 90% of the ET members. Nope. Different concept of an "edge".
  9. bone

    Exact Science

    Meteorology will be an exact science when the practitioner can predict weather 100% of the time. Ditto for trading. Prediction is required. If you are looking for "exact science", then Newtonian Physics before the time of Einstein might be a better analogy. The term "exact" has no...
  10. bone

    1% profit daily with without risk. Company name?

    "I took a look at the talkgold site and was simultaneously amazed and saddened" Like the old addage says: 'the more things change, the more they stay the same'. Easily satiated greed (high returns with no risk and very little effort on the investor's part) makes people lose all sense of...
  11. bone

    1% profit daily with without risk. Company name?

    Maybe the idea is to be a Ponzi investor in one of the first tranches who gets out at his earliest opportunity and stays out for good.
  12. bone

    Seeking serious advice from market makers and dealers

    I would think the most logical course of action would be to pursue an interview with a fund or private equity group (Susquehanna, DRW, etc.) or a dealer/broker (Garban, Prebon Yamane, etc.) whose business model and revenue streams are based primarily upon market making. Look at the firms...
  13. bone

    1% profit daily with without risk. Company name?

    "There are some banks in other countries that pay 10% to 12% per year. " The operative term open to subjective interpretation being the word "bank" with all of the connotations associated with security - depositor insurance protections, funds segregation, and transparency.
  14. bone

    1% profit daily with without risk. Company name?

    Moody's affirms PrivatBank AS's ratings (B2/NP/E+); outlook remains negative Rating date October, 2010 The Cyprus branch's corporate parent in the Ukraine. (Source: Info-Prod Research (Middle East))Moody's Investors Service has today affirmedthe E+ bank financial strength rating (BFSR)...
  15. bone

    FIFO Multiple entries, same pair, same side

    http://www.cmegroup.com/globex/files/PriceBanding.pdf 6E and the rest of the CME currencies used to be PRORATA order matching, as of the latest CME circular they are now FIFO. First-In, First-Out. Bottom Line: Earliest timestamped order gets the fill. GTC limit orders have priority...
  16. bone

    What was CL trading in 2008 like?

    The calendar spreads had great daily trading ranges - sometimes greater than 100 tics and frequently about 50 tics and more.
  17. bone

    Are stops a complete joke ?

    "There is a no-stop, always-in system using 2 MA crossover" Let me just share what I have found, take it as just my personal opinion: That MA cross systems (and some oscillators, for that matter) which rely upon the same signal conditions for both entry and exit signals give away alot of...
  18. bone

    what's the fine

    " i was at a different firm before and could hide all my faking in the midst of 50 traders' orders" Ditto. We cleared Deutsche Bank for Eurex and I was the only "Size" HF high volume spread trader at a big Chicago prop firm of about 50 scalpers. I am positive that it was a big help for me...
  19. bone

    what's the fine

    "One of his fines, was 2 broken bones." Almost. I actually never got a formal fine - but the Eurex, Liffe, and ICE desks have my cell phone number. They have called me more about crossing orders than messages these days [that's another topic altogether]. You have to be selective - if you...
  20. bone

    what's the fine

    "on a side note any idea if my ploy of 1-lotting the tu will let me escape their wraith?" If they are fills, yes. Several years ago, I used to use quite a bit of automation like AutoSpreader for example to trade the Eurex yield curve. I used to keep count of my messages and ping off some...
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