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  1. M

    Latvian Hookers Signal No Recovery for Economy: One of the Most Reliable Indicators

    <object width="560" height="340"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/nLIxDgO6Q4E&hl=en&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/nLIxDgO6Q4E&hl=en&fs=1"...
  2. M

    Short DAX at 7740

    I found this quite interesting: "Already we have real GDP levels that are up only about 3pc from 2000 in Germany – ie growth has been only a little over ¼pc a year – making this a lost decade for much of continental Europe on a worse scale than Japan in the 1990s."...
  3. M

    Let's discuss academic research on mean-reverting trading strategies...

    Why don't you start with your comments?
  4. M

    German real estate

    Look up a long-term chart of German real estate prices. There was basically no real appreciation (in excess of inflation rates). That's why prices were stable since global property prices peaked and went into a tailspin -- they were never in a bubble in the first place, hence little downward...
  5. M

    The 'Dollar Is Going to Crash' Crowd Are Oblivious...

    I forgot who used the phrase (some analyst) but I like the analogy of "for the time being, the US Dollar is the tallest in a group of midgets".
  6. M

    As Smash-and-Grab Capitalism Collapses, the French Economy Shines

    "Question: Is it true that French women tend not to shave their legs and armpits? " -- http://www.answerbag.com/q_view/30783 :cool:
  7. M

    Is a run on WFC and its failure really off the table?

    Prussia? Geithner might rather take a hint from Nazi military history as generals got the order from headquarters to "fight to the last man and bullet" and then commit suicide :cool:
  8. M

    Peter Schiff called "Extremist" by Time Magazine moron

    No of course not. Global deflation/inflation risks are not solely influenced by the USD or commodities. They are two out of many variables IMO. The CRB commodity spot index dropped 40% from 1980 to 2000. The US Dollar Index bottomed at 82 in 1979/80, hit 75 in 1992 and stood at 100 in 2000...
  9. M

    As Smash-and-Grab Capitalism Collapses, the French Economy Shines

    Doesn't France have a 50% marginal tax rate and a wealth tax? Sounds like a proletarian paradise, but like hell for the rich.
  10. M

    Peter Schiff called "Extremist" by Time Magazine moron

    I agree with Schiff on one point: Why on earth are the guys that ridiculed him over the housing bubble now still on more on bubblevision than him? They're just as bad a broken clock as Schiff himself. May/June 2008 (just from the top of my head): Kudlow: "Don, my friend... you gotta help...
  11. M

    Russia Dumps the U.S. Dollar for Euro as Reserve Currency

    Isn't that a shocker, since 99% of tourists visiting Turkey are from Europe??? :cool:
  12. M

    America's Triple-A Rating: Nothing to Worry About

    Let's face it: The IRS has the best and hardest lock on their slave stock (tax payers) out of any G7 country. US citizens pay based on citizenship, not based on residency, from what I understand the same principle will soon apply to corporations -- this is a considerable solvency advantage...
  13. M

    Gold 955??

    The sovereign debt downgrades are certainly playing a role and are bullish for gold. Gold doesn't pay a coupon (like bonds do), but it becomes relatively more attractive when sovereign bonds are regarded are less safe.
  14. M

    Idea with Potential?

    Why don't you backtest it? Load a couple years worth of backtested daily stock data into Excel and report back with the results.
  15. M

    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    In a regular cyclical downturn (caused by over-investment, high capacity utilization and resulting excess inventories) unemployment is a lagging indicator -- since the initial trust of recovery is financed not by new marginal household and corporate income but simply by corporations and...
  16. M

    IB costs

    Every broker has mixed reviews. There are always idiots who complain and whine about their broker for no apparent reason. Make a list of things that are important to you (fees, margin req's, personal service, product availability, platform, connectivity, available (backup) dataservices etc.)...
  17. M

    Brazil, China consider superceding dollar

    Brazil, China Plan to Trade Without Dollars Is ‘Pure Idle Talk’ http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a.2qBYMO_jtA&refer=home
  18. M

    United Kingdom Outlook Cut to Negative at Standard & Poors

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aHjgxN4RCWP0&refer=home The United Kingdom’s outlook was revised to negative from stable at Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services today. The pound fell against the dollar to trade at $1.5610 and the FTSE 100 Index dropped as much as 2.7...
  19. M

    Hampton Homes Decline Most Since Records Kept; Cali Home Prices Fall 36%

    Germany is still suffering from a gigantic glut of homes/apartments from the 1990s reunification-fueled homebuilding frenzy. Tons of private investors got burned back then in semi-fraudulent real estate developments/investments. Home ownership is relatively low, rent increases are barely...
  20. M

    Worries growing about commercial real estate

    Maybe yes, maybe no. I am short IYR, a couple % in the red. If it goes up some more I'll reverse position, go long and ride this pig back up.
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