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  1. M

    German real estate

    Picking out Berlin as an example why German (i.e. the entire country) real estate is cheap is like picking out GE and claiming how "US stocks are cheap across the board". Possibly there are good reasons for GE and Berlin real estate being in the dumpster. For once, GDP per capita is 23.300...
  2. M

    Chancellor of the UK exchequer Darling warns on economic recovery

    BNP Paribas's Redeker Says Pound May Rally Up to $1.72 :cool: http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/avp.htm?N=av&T=BNP%20Paribas%27s%20Redeker%20Says%20Pound%20May%20Rally%20Up%20to%20%241.72&clipSRC=mms://media2.bloomberg.com/cache/vv__DKI3au74.asf
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    Peter Schiff to appear on the Daily Show:Warning some sheep may wakeup

    Unfortunately, I bet most dumbass investors with his only ever heard of him and his amazing "strategy" (buy foreign stocks stocks with zero risk and money management, average down into losing positions, what an amazing radical strategy) in 2007/2008 -- and not in 2000/2001/2002. I'd not be...
  4. M

    Peter Schiff to appear on the Daily Show:Warning some sheep may wakeup

    You don't get it. Hendry has a public track record that makes him accountable. Schiff doesn't. Talking heads like Schiff do not want to be held accountable. They just go back in history and claim victory on the calls that turned out right and they want the public to forget about the calls they...
  5. M

    Will the collapse of the dollar empty your trading account?

    How many people saw their trading accounts empties as they bet on dollar collapses that never came -- predicted by golf bugs and talking heads (1980, 1990, 2008)? Is this time different and the dollar index drops another 75% over the next 5 years? Or did we simply go from an overvalued/EUR...
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    Peter Schiff to appear on the Daily Show:Warning some sheep may wakeup

    Two people who called the mortgage meltdown: 1. Peter Schiff - Got his head handed to him; lost his clients money in 2008. Loves publicity. Goes on TV on how he was always right and never wrong and saw everything coming and "positioned his clients accordingly". 2. John Paulson - Made himself...
  7. M

    •World Bank Says Global Economy to Shrink 3%, More Than Estimated; Green Shoots!

    Did you now recommend him to flip positions and short the SP500, considering how convinced you are that the SP500 will see new lows in the near future?
  8. M

    Peter Schiff to appear on the Daily Show:Warning some sheep may wakeup

    It seems Schiff is immensely popular with the youtube/college kid crowd. Obiously, his obscure economic theories have an appeal with that audience.
  9. M

    JP Morgan upgrades Deutsche Bank from underweight to "neutral"

    "Record profits in fixed income trading" = banker lingo for CDS payouts from AIG courtesy of US taxpayers :cool:
  10. M

    Comparing the Great Depression to today

    Did you look at the actual numbers, 1990 till today? The SP500 (price index, without dividends) is up 280% from 1990 -- that's 5.7% annualized, beating CPI inflation. The Dollar Index is down a "horrendous" (as the gold bugs say) 14% over the same 19 year time period, still allowing for a...
  11. M

    Laffer: Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates

    From Gluskin Sheff/Rosenberg, regarding the "breathing room" of the US to increase taxes in order to service future debt, putting intermediate-term US sovereign default risk into perspective (the sectors loaded with debt and facing borderline bankruptcy are private households, banks and...
  12. M

    Laffer: Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates

    IMO Laffer is spot on with much higher taxes to come; marginal top bracket tax rates during and after the Great Depression:
  13. M

    Laffer: Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates

    Just for reference (courtesey of http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/ )
  14. M

    Laffer: Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates

    Just like the Japanese tried to substitute imploding corporate spending by government spending (as companies shunned new debt and cleaned up their balance sheets). Despite trillions of USD in stimulus, bailouts and quantitative easing, all the Japanese eeked out over 20 years is a sideways...
  15. M

    Laffer: Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates

    Laffer should have been fair and extended the graph all the way back to the 30s. There was a similar spike - but Oh God - that period saw no hyperinflation but deflation. That would have contradicted the article so he opted for a time series starting in the 60s :cool:
  16. M

    Laffer: Get Ready for Inflation and Higher Interest Rates

    What if nobody wants these loans (like in Japan post 1990)? The banks could offer new loans all they want, should the private sector wake up from a 30 year debt-fueled spending spree with little appetite for further debt then Laffer's argument quickly collapses like the house of cards it is IMO...
  17. M

    Comparing the Great Depression to today

    From one of Rosenberg's recent letters regarding 70s vs 2000s, commodity prices and inflation pass through: -------------------------- LACK OF PASS-THROUGH FROM THE COMMODITY RUSH TO FINAL CONSUMER PRICES There seems to be quite a bit of concern that inflation is going to rear its ugly...
  18. M

    Hardest working countries?

    Labor productivity (output per working hour) is high in (former) West Germany -- doesn't mean the Germans put in the longest hours though. I think Germany once held (maybe still does) the record for having the most paid public holidays per year. Plus each worker gets around 15-25 days of paid...
  19. M

    German exports slump further in April

    Clearly, Germany has been going downhill since its "glory" in the 1930s :cool:
  20. M

    Gordon Gekko... has a daugher

    Yawn, this sounds like one giant snooze fest. The plot seems to have nothing in common with the tagline "money never sleeps". Plus they ought to revise the script anyways. Dubai and London both have become obsolete in world finance over the last 12 months :cool:
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