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What if it sees a big uptick? Oh wait, that can't happen can it? After all, Bernanke is "printing dollars 24/7" and "the US is bankrupt".

Surprised?

Please post a screenshot of your USD short position. Certainly you have positioned yourself accordingly in order to take advantage of this no-brainer risk-free trade!

How is it the 30 year old "The greenback is going to collapse overnight" song is getting louder and louder once we enter a downtrend and suddenly becomes very quiet once we enter an uptrend?

Yes, after gold and the HUI drop 90% like AIG did :cool:

I'd say that's a distinct positive for the US. The US is addressing the problem via closure and reorganization. On the other hand, the European banks (club med) are in denial. They will sit on their junk debt for the next 10 years, crimping new loan growth.

Another great day for natty "value investors". Can't go much lower can it? :cool:

Not at all. Easily locatable at IB.

So far, that would be me. Short AIG :cool:

I do the following in my trendfollowing portfolio (across a couple dozen future markets). I look at the distance of price versus a number of moving averages and calculate the standard deviation of these differences: how "abnormally" far below/above the moving averages is this market...

Is there any future contract out there that ever gained any significant market volume WITHOUT being able to arbitrage the derivative with an underlying, be it baskets of stocks, crude oil delivery or cash settlements for interest rates? These housing ETFs just like the housing future...

Long SB futures. Let's see if this pig can fly some more.

Not when your inflation rate is 3% annualized :cool:

Why not? The Swedes could do it. Why not Americans? There is a LOT of room to increase taxes in the US and thus increase US government revenues and then pay off debt. It will take a while but it's certainly possible. The US has a population growth of 1%. The real question is how is Japan...

Gold will have support IMO for as long as real short term interest rates are low/negative.

I didn't mean this to dispute you listing Sweden, I think it's just an interesting example for debt/GDP ratios following a housing bubble + bust/bank bailout/currency crisis scenario. Home prices in SE roughly tripled between the mid 80s and 1991 before dropping 25-30%...

Gov. debt to GDP in Sweden after their 1990/92 bank bailouts and 90s currency crisis: https://www.riksgalden.se/templates/RGK_Templates/TwoColumnPage____2749.aspx

They start off like every other child in the country: either they have good, hard-working, loving parents or they don't. The Grant Study focuses on this issue (http://www.amazon.com/Adaptation-Life-George-E-Vaillant/dp/0674004140) and followed individuals from graduating from Harvard college...

And most poor people are poor due to bad luck? Is that how it works?

I've been short the front months for like a year in NG and its money making as easy as taking candy from a little child. As long as there are enough adventurous "traders" buying stuff they don't understand because it's "too cheap" and "has to go up soon" this will remain a gold mine.