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Another point: what do you do if the months do not have equal implied volty? Extreme examples: What if 1 month implied volty = twice the 4 month implied?

Did you try to get a second expert opinion on some of what is said in that video?

That is correct! You should add the probs. 1.25 straddle "=" implied volty

Because of losers waiting for the rescue and shorts who missed the earlier entry or want to re-enter. From demand side, people may change mind or delay buying decisions. Conclusion: a break may create supply and may reduce demand!

Hey smart money: you missed the sell off at beginning of week, and since you are big the market went back to board you. SPY is now at 180.78. I could see your coat made from bear skin. Your estimate location is at most 0.16cents to 0.22cents away.

Is it something you checked yourself, or you were only told?

Thanks for the excellent input!:)

Great posts sOmmi, and I certainly wish for you to become the best trader of all times in Australia. And do not forget me if you strike it big! What is happening to the Australia dollar lately? Everyone seems to be pushing it around. Is there is a crisis of some sort in Oztralia? A bear...

There is one law in the back of their mind behind all three laws: buy cheaper volty sell it higher. I like your posts sOmmi, and I very much like your Muhammed Ali video --- some people watch what you did not ask them to watch! It was that video that I enjoyed. Put a longer one with no music.

How about leverage? Are there some who use NO leverage?

Why did you change from VXX to options?

Generally, you would need to figure it out on yourself or pay someone to tell you (and verify with you that you understood) things they would not tell you unless they are paid!:)

I have question: If AUD were to go through a bear market or even a "crash" how to play it best?

Last week I had some fundamental conclusions which I did not stick to to the level I should have had, but the recent experiments have confirmed to me that my conclusions were sound. A main conclusion to myself back then was: Long GBP/JPY was a sound long side, and that AUD/JPY was not a...

Just like one needs to stand on a firm ground in order to be sure not to fall, one needs to stand on firm assumptions. If one does not fall, it does not mean the ground is firm. If one falls the ground was not firm. This discussion assumes there is no external reason for the fall such as weak...

AUD/JPY @ 93.50. Long side. 1/10th. (this is counter recent past trend) EUR/GBP @ .8322. Short side. 1/10th. (this is with past trend) To complete my thinking on this: I am thinking MINUS EUR/NZD and MINUS EUR/AUD 1/20th each). They are now at 1.6375 and 1.4590.

@ 9250. Out of it. Will think about coming back to it if it becomes clear it heading up. Moving to two crosses: AUD/JPY and EUR/GBP.

eur/jpy @ 1.3590. Short side. Picking tops because of limited risk. Taking risk of range bound.

Pair @ 1.4787. Still bullish on, but out of it because of slow movement. It is 13 pips from yesterday's high. Will check later to see how it does if it breaks the high.

AUD/USD @ .9247. Long side. Partial. Against trend- additional risk horizontal movement.