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It is not the yield, it is the capital gains. A 1% decrease in a bond, can lead to 10% capital gains (gains rise with duration). They are trading cash flows, which are additive over time.

What is your risk capital?

Falconview: I could see you made multiple posts. I have to focus on few things in markets. Will read and check later today. I would watch the short straddle life (the one currently at the money) until the end. I would also watch the one due to expire next week (same strike). If a last...

Ask those who heavily bought puts and straddles expiring today and, and they may tell you that today was an ugly day. They were planning to make a killing today. The 45 QQQQ straddle at 3PM yesterday was worth around 0.70 cents (it was insane because the next Friday straddle was worth around...

:-). Humor wise, it is a good one!

I find it a very nasty pair. I bought it at 85.25, and it played so many fakes yesterday. I decided to sell it today. It continued a bit up. Interesting to hear that CNBC is making bearish talk about it. Where do you see the rally ending? 90.00 area?

I agree that 99.999...%+ are great people. Also, notice that they are the victims of the bad deeds. If you read the Haaretz, you will notice that there are some outstanding great, just, honest, and righteous journalist. I was just struck by how people were taken advantage of even when the...

No. Always prey before entering a trade. Changing an E for an A can be make a huge difference. Praying does not help, but preying can help. Trading is preying?

Success can sometimes be just one step away--- Some give up when they are just one step away. In trading a last step away could be one last trading rule you implement. We want to hear the last rule you implemented before you told good bye to non-successful trading. We would also like to know...

Ponzi schemes in real-estate? Hareetz, an Israel Newspaper, reports: " Weinstein, 35, an Orthodox Jew from Lakewood, New Jersey, is suspected of bilking Orthodox investors in the U.S., London, and Israel out of more than $300 million through fake real estate deals, selling the same...

There are arab Jews, Christians and Muslims. This guy is Christian. I bet the tribe defenders will not defend him.

He is Christian. I bet that by now you realized that you had a false alert to defend a member of the tribe, independent of the member of the tribe did or did not.

If you can see it in terms of a straddle, then you are done, because a time spread with a straddle is the same thing as a time spread with puts, or a time spread with calls. Usually people can see it with individual options, but have harder time to see it in terms of straddles. Grasping these...

Do you remember that guy and what he said on this forum? He "disappeared" immediately after his call on ET, and did not answer even when people wrote to him that he most likely have been reading but he does not respond. If he was right, you would have heard so much of his noise, you would want...

The volty of tomorrow straddle for QQQS has now fallen to 27.3. In only 15 minutes or so, it fell from 33 to 27. That is 20% fall.

I never check reports/news/etc. I look only at my models. Should I check reports? When is the next report? You mentioned a weekly jobs report, is it tomorrow (Friday)?

USD/JPY now at 86 area. Offloading here, as this sucker can make some sharp retreats, but it looks as if it wants to go higher. Better I lock my gains, and wish the buyer luck.:)

My models told me yesterday to expect buying for QQQQs at 44.80 and below. They opened it at 44.50. I covered/hedged all the shorts. I expect stability to a possible rise from here. Now August Doldrum for real after a possible sharp rally?

Worse case scenarios are good to limit risk, but how could you make money from predicting a worse case scenario? In relation to predictions, the models that made the prediction of the QQQQs 4 days ago (read previous pages) told me time last night to cover any short position if QQQQ hits 44.80...

I am busy with other things but here are some points: 1. A (long) time spread is to buy an option for an expiration, and to sell the same type of option for a short duration at the same strike. It benefits most if stock moves towards the strike, the volty rises, and time passes. For instance...