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My friend: what you showed is bullish. On the verge of a dangerous breakout.

Do you have a link?

But those who shorted the market on Thursday did follow the then downtrend similar to what you explained. We know what happened to them today. Where does one draw the line?

THROUGH?:confused:

You got it wrong. When interest rates are rising, bond market enters a bear market, and people do not buy bonds until the rates stop rising. Mr. Joe Ross: is it you who wrote that worthless piece or is it ghostwriters hired somewhere in india? Hey readers: who do you think is right in the...

The question is the pullback, not whether it is a bull/horizontal. It is clearly not a bear. QQQQ are the only index that did not break the 2003 lows in the march 2009 lows. They are the leader of this market. I learned this back in March rise, but I keep forgetting it. There was a video...

I know how the dividend arbitrage can be played, but probably not in the way you may be reading about it in the web. All I have come across on the net so far is not correct in this area. I cannot say how I would do it because it is an edge. You however need capital for these things to make...

Another way to look at it is to look at the worst trade (on record). The worse is actually you lose the whole thing. If the worse trade was MINUS 50%, and since one should never allow a loss of more than 2% of their bankroll on one trade, this project to never invest more than 1/25th of your...

Stanford: 1. Their spreads are about $2 wide, which if you project to the QQQQ value, is bout 4%. The leverage is therefore 25. Why is this important? Because if you adjust to leverage, the return is only 0.65% per trade. If you project it for the whole year, and assuming always a trade is...

Since you are sitting back and relaxed, what do you see?

I actually see selling taking place by smart money in anticipation of a retreat.

Nasdaq-100 index is at 2012.50, half a point only from 2013. My models said some days ago that this is the top of the area where a retreat was to begin. The bulls are going crazy. What do you think guys?

At 9:13AM today, EUR/USD just hit 1.3465. As I wrote in the other thread on OEX options, my models said end of upmove today, and said short it. EUR/USD is correlated to stock market. Any opinions?

One minute ago (9:13AM on today Friday), my models issued a short forecast of EUR/USD. EUR/USD is at 1.3465 at 9:13AM. There is correlation with stock market. Falconview: Could you check EUR/USD on your models? You can also see the action on EUR/USD.

Falconview: they broke the high. There was a first rejection, and on second attempt they went through it. The bulls are stubborn, or should I say the bears were caught with their pants down again? :) If market goes down, your concern is the long call (not the short one). The short one is not...

Falconview: I posted this two minutes ago in another thread. "Guys: 10:46AM, QQQQ at day's high: 48.99. Is it time to fade it?". Time is now 10:49AM. If market finishes in the green today, we may have a break out tomorrow. For bulls today is an important day.

Guys: 10:46AM, QQQQ at day's high: 48.99. Is it time to fade?

Falconview, It seems to me that on the direction assessment, you do not seem to be an amateur at all. I am interested to compare, but also to get your opinion on your assessment of the forecast made by my analysis. My analysis is not a indicator/etc type of thing, but an analysis of a geeky...

Hi Kevin, Did you read my response to Falconview in relation to debit spreads? It is in line with what you wrote. How successful have been at it? The other related to this is not to over leverage. With spreads, one can easily make the mistake. I think there should be treated as risk...

I did not know you were this ready to swing! Continue your practice because it will help in search for arbs, and because opportunities are not always available for the same idea. So you will need additional profit centers, and things are not exclusive. There are principles you build on, and...