Search results

They do not call tops and bottoms-- They surprise people. Yes it could happen this week. As I said this is one the most dangerous market in my view. It can hit the range-bounder, the shorts, and the longs. Probably a better posture is to be on the sideline or in pure delta flat, and have wings...

pullbacks and retreats (not to talk about reversals) can be extremely fast. If you never experienced one, you may one to be ready to feel it. The market may also break on the high side. It is a dangerous market, even if it goes not look so. Dull markets are very dangerous markets. If it...

As of today,and until new information that would change my view, I believe that put credit spreads are now a relatively dangerous bet. It does not mean they will lose if done now, but as Falconview says, better told me, stay away from marginal trades. Time spreads with lower strikes might be...

Shortie: immediately before your posted it was at its high in the day, and immediately after you posted the dollar started weakening. Are you taking your profits on the dollar? If so, do not over do it as you may create a fall in the dollar, and if they break yesterday's high, one would have...

FV: Did you consider asking the readers what they think are your strengths as a trader as perceived by them? Thank for your comments on the EUR/USD. A no forecast is a forecast. That is the way I think it should be for the majority of the time.

FV: that was the top of the day. It now at 1.3880 (traded earlier at 1.3860). Stanford: something related to the discussion we had on underlying. Models gave me the signal, but I did not take it. A lost opportunity. This another type of psychology issues. A more serious error would have...

Falconview: I am having a quick visit on this thread. Stanford gave the link. Will read your posts to see if you have other questions. TJ

The question you should have asked in the poll is: do people expect an actual QE2? If that number is high, then you know what to do.

I would never assume something. King is right in posing the question.

So far it is the exact bottom.

bottom

Falconview: It is Sunday night. At around 7:15PM, my models came with end of up move and a short signal for EUR/USD with the pair at 1.4007. This has been a ferocious upmove. Models were timing the beginning of the previous retreats correctly, but after each of the previous retreats the...

I am going to make a post on the blog, and add the link. If you need it urgently, send me an email, I can email it now.

What ever your wife gave you as food/drinks/words/etc, keep taking more of it. Your above post is one of your most sharp posts so far. You mentioned that debit spreads did not work. Debit spreads are directional (and also long in vola). Is it because of the option spread, or because of your...

I would add to Stanford post (which is good) this: 1. I would also make sure to know in one unit the assignment is made (Cash or underlying). The distinction may not seem important but it is particularly for leveraged positions such as Stanford's writing strategies. 2. This may also...

Your did not give "I do not know" as a choice. I would not be surprised that people do not know how much leverage they use.

Excellent Falconview! The word secrets make human curious. What are some of the secrets Falconview? If I were to make a suggestion it would be that in a future post, you show your complete position both in cash and in options/underlying, then ask this question what are my risks? You give your...

:-) I believe that in trading one has to focus on the things that would hurt, not on the things that would make money. When I wrote the post I was thinking that it might be viewed as nitty gritty, so I am glad lad you did not find it nitty gritty. I think the how tos can get one going, but...

Shortie: I think you are a good thinker. Look into the direction of the dollar. The recent move may have distorted things. I personally need to make sure I understand why the dollar fell so hard and so fast. Until this is understood with "certainty", I think stocks are not understood (at...

What do you think is the most underestimate risk in trading? I have my answer to this question, but allow the discussion to develop I will delay it. I would even say that traders may be taking risks they are not even aware they are taking. Now your turn to get your valuable input. Do not...