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The US market would be the best market forward. It would outperform the BRICs/etc. Money seems to be flowing to the US. I have a feeling that Brazil would be one of the markets that would tank. Their leadership seems not to be understanding what is going on. What they think is now a problem...

That is good news for a bear move, but it can take time for the top to round. SPY between 122.5 and 125 would be the zone where they would hire bag holders (if it gets there). QQQQ area is 54 to 55, but they could not hire people so far as the buyers seemed well aware of the bait. Shortie...

return on equity is positive, but stock is falling hard. What are the reasons? news, rumors/etc ?

Did you post in the options thread as well? I responded there. Main point is that I believe you are likely wrong, because dollar is rising.

Do you mean that the value of the course is in NOT buying it? Is JR a real name or a writer name?

Dollar is in a ferocious rise, and you are talking about hedging against inflation. I bet you read a lot of newsletters, and hear news on TV.

What if you take an exam here on ET? I can offer the exam questions if you want. First questions would help build your confidence, and then you would hit the questions that may make you make yourself caught in public with your pants down. After the first three steps, you will hit the ladder...

I have my explanation, but you can reconstitute it from what I posted since the day before fed day. I do not want to explicitly write my thinking on this forum, for fear that the comments would cloud and deflect my attention to and conviction in the analysis. Reading and discussing things in...

what is the failure rate so far? (exclude yourself and myself from the calcs in case one or both of us increase that rate).

ROCU 99%: false.

How sure are you about your conclusion?

shorted. PS: you failed to indicate the time frame, which I think you assumed is the same for both alternatives, but I wonder if you realized the importance of time.

HFT is your friend, because they use algos, and algos are predictable because they follow a logic.

I started the "The retreat-.." thread on Friday with the market at the top, and people were not interested in it. Is it a sign that ET is finally bullish? (at the top?) The only thing missing from extreme bullishness is that I did not get insulted in that thread. Usually at extremes, a person...

I know that when the market was at the top (when this thread started) it may have seemed strange to discuss a retreat, but now that it is in the red maybe people's minds would be open to discuss the down side. Any new assessment?

FV and Stanford: Just to let you know that my models told me to cover any short put, and to cease considering any new short put until I hear from the models otherwise. Stanford: You remember the sunken cost in that report you sent me. The passage of time has proved that the sunken cost...

FV: You made the right decision to paper trade. Imagine if it were real money, how you would have felt. I would suggest that when you place an order you may want to read it out LOUD, and/or maybe have your wife hear it/read it on the screen. In any case, I think one should add costs of...

More than 50 views, and not a single soul on ET believes in a retreat. Isn't ET traders the best of the best? :confused:

Now EUR/USD at 1.4066. The picked the pockets of the dollar bulls. Are the dollar bears next or will they delay the work on them until Monday?

If you look in hindsight everything is green. The future might reveal something else. The point is the retreat - how deep will it be? An easier one: how will they explain it? Give the explanations before they give them. The only valid explanations are the ones ahead of time. Anything after...