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  1. tommcginnis

    Tail risk as a trading edge

    Their equity curve looks like their biasing long on equities and then long on vol in market turns. Which means not so much in counter-trend or even short equity positions... Just eyeballing it, but I seems not-so-much centered on tail risk. No hint (to my eyeballs)...
  2. tommcginnis

    trading situation

    Way too many people do *not* do what you're doing right now -- trading positions when it's handy, but recognizing that trading component parts is part of the very same game. Question #1 from here is, "What is your expectation for future movement?" That steers a lot of long/short and call/put...
  3. tommcginnis

    May metrics

    Maxinger, look at the data:
  4. tommcginnis

    TWS is loading charts slowly...."attempting to retrieve data"

    All facts not in evidence from the opening post, to which I responded. One last time, for those slow on the uptake: "Please read my original post." ("WHAT a frikken genius." :rolleyes:)
  5. tommcginnis

    TWS is loading charts slowly...."attempting to retrieve data"

    You're missing the point: how did you confirm that resources were not hogged? Please see my original post.
  6. tommcginnis

    TWS is loading charts slowly...."attempting to retrieve data"

    TWS is planted on your computer, whether native or downloaded. Issues would show up in CPU and RAM consumption. IB's servers are IB's issues, but Task Manager would still show 1) low resource consumption -- even *idle* time, and 2) stalls and spikes in network use. OP should open Task Manager...
  7. tommcginnis

    TWS is loading charts slowly...."attempting to retrieve data"

    Turn on Task Manager, and do some digging. You've got somebody doing a major suck on your resources. I don't *think* it's TWS' fault, but rather a symptom.
  8. tommcginnis

    modeling the vol surface when missing (quite a bit of) data

    Two quick thoughts: • I have done what you did, but kept it at 6 colors. What you have done -- WOW. People should realize that that is not a *graphic* per se, but a *spreadsheet.* • Your work on differences may produce (heh heh!) certain "islands" of discontinuous sloping with regard to...
  9. tommcginnis

    Manufacturing PMI

    Haven't forex-ed in over a decade, but there is *way* much non-market factors for both the GBP (Brexit; EU-cuspieness) and the USD (Stable Genius) to take any position longer than a Tweet-snap. It'd be like throwing darts at a butterfly. (IMO.)
  10. tommcginnis

    Market Irrationality

    No -- and in fact, the opposite. This is the very nature of voluntary exchange, and why trade improves lives. The weaver eats better when they trade blankets to the farmer; the farmer sleeps warmer when he trades pigs to the weaver. The marvel of The Invisible Hand is that, through unfettered...
  11. tommcginnis

    Sharpe Ratio Calculation

    There are other presentations on the net that might read better for you, but The Fools got this completely correct. Give that article another shot.
  12. tommcginnis

    margin spx vs ES

    You can do this all by yourself: put your cursor on your ET username in the upper-righthand-side of the screen, and a drop-done menu will appear. On the righthand side of the choices, about half-way down, is People You Ignore. Click on that, and input my ET username. Please.
  13. tommcginnis

    Trade in Multiple Time Frames

    Your goal should not be entry(s) and exit(s), but *trades*. So you need to examine this idea over a good chunk of time, and see how it behaves for each underlying. (Humbletrader's point re "Futures" I would clarify to Indexes.) I used to tick-scalp. I used 1minute charts with T/A that usually...
  14. tommcginnis

    margin spx vs ES

    Ow moi GAWWWWD! That's all my cousins -- Dad's side from Queens & Brooklyn, Mom from Lonn Guyland.
  15. tommcginnis

    margin spx vs ES

    I *told* you it would make you facepalm. I *also* suggested you already knew it. You guys *are* a pretty sharp bunch, but hey -- it was Sunday night. Okay so, ALL HAIL, ETJJJjjjjjjjjjjjj!!!
  16. tommcginnis

    margin spx vs ES

    Nope. Nope. Nope. Annnnnnnnd Nope. You guys are thinking like traders, and like you're responding to traders. You've got to go down a couple of floors. Read his question, and respond to a twelve year old. The BIGGEST part of the difference is ____________________... (As ol' Mom would said...
  17. tommcginnis

    margin spx vs ES

    You guys are driving me nuts. Nobody's even gotten *close* to MOST most most correct answer. Imagine that you're a speaker at a 'retail' financial conference, and it's time for Q&A, and met1989 steps to the microphone and asks his question. Respond -- to the specific question and to the entire...
  18. tommcginnis

    margin spx vs ES

    https://duckduckgo.com/?q=margin+on+ES+versus+SPX&t=ffsb&ia=web
  19. tommcginnis

    IB have the ability to show you underlying's forecasted price without your personal sentiments?

    "Yes, l know calculating sum of the ATM straddle gives ~ expected move. but does IB not have this calculated for you? or have a choice of showing it alongside the IV it has on the top right for every option chain time frame like other top option brokers." Don't mistake popularity with utility...
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