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Great opportunity to take more off the table, via greater asset sales or by interest rate hike or by both.

Isn't that Beth Grant and a young Jake Gyllanhal (sp!)?? Great taste in whacko movie references. BTW, if you *really* want to do this one right? Recognize that the movie was horrendously edited: get the DVD, watch the outtakes, and then watch the rest of the movie, and it will all make SO MUCH...

I think you have a cart and horse issue.

If you're considering an exit, but don't want to jump "too soon", consider writing a call on it. It's no guarantee that the underlying won't tank, but it improves the taste of *that* bitter medicine nicely. And if it should skyrocket another leg up? Wellllll, you were going to chuck it anyway...

Not only has no one written that the domain between sub-segments be the same, but I have repeated referenced it being variable as a relevant factor.:rolleyes:, :wtf:, :banghead:, :cool: That said, great exhibits (labeling aside).:thumbsup:

Suppose there are three periods A,B,C SegA runs 1.0→2.0 SegB runs 2.0→1.0, and SegC runs 1.0→1.0 Models performing best in SegA would show positive (Cartesian) linear behavior, SegB would show negative linear behavior, while SegC would exhibit a graceful curvelinear arc and do best with a...

"Bingo!" -- and nicely put. As for the (over-the-top!) "Professor Tom" appellation, 'Yeah. In my dreams.' But TOTALLY I just parrot whut I wuz taught. "My guy" (Larry Bartels) was a dissertation-writing Ph.D. from Berkeley when he was teaching me at Rochester, and Larry worshiped *his* guy...

You mean, like, where things regress?? http://stattrek.com/regression/residual-analysis.aspx?Tutorial=AP Which means, you perform a regression, and then take a look at your data_vs_model. These "residual" values -- leftover umph after the model was done -- often carry clues about underlying...

THIS. This. This. A thousand times, this.

DO NOT be afraid to tailor the SMA (and/or, the choice of oscillator!) to the underlying. THERE IS NO rule that says the look-back parameter needs to be the same for every underlying OR that it needs to be the same over history. (The latter being a formula for spectacular failure.) USE WHAT...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decomposition_of_time_series ??? In the short term (say, instantaneous) any trend component would not be discernible -- and any effect would be folded into the variance. In the longer term (t=100? 1000? 36,525 days?), the trend's effect on variance is diluted. How...

"Volatility" or σ estimates, of and by themselves, beg "I.I.D." conditions https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_and_identically_distributed_random_variables which means that the period-to-period correlations, which would severely erode with upside-trend recognition (Box-Jenkins...

Nice screen name.

(This brings out the nerd in me....) A strategy carries the implication of (high level) broad views given to general officers. A tactic (with roots in touch) refers to immediate actions. 'Selling a put and buying a call' tells you nothing about how to manage the trade after that -- no...

Nope. You have to remember the border: If you imagine the market (or whatever) as a perfect wave, and your border of segment1→segment2 was the very top of the wave, your segment1 strats would be biased "long". {etc etc etc.} I am totally forgetting the test condition for a fair conclusion of...

Meh. My bad. It was late; I wuz tired == cranky. But the way you put it, it sounded like "Trading $$Millions for 30 minutes a day!!" stuff. Having paid that price myself, I pulled what the shrinks call "projection." (Also, of course, this relentless-climbing market *really*does* have my nuts in...

Damn! I missed the emoji that signifies, "Jeepers! Another douchey newby troll who lacks spelling skill, but thinks they can make that up with profile graphics and idiotic advice! I thought we were running short of such things!" Anybody see that emoji?? Dang. Ahhh well.

"And then, blow up your account." Not funny.

Hey, I've only scanned this playbook, but if I (*rarely*) have a owned short-timer, and want to lock in/insure production out of it, I'll sell something sweet at a distance that gives me some fair premium in the pocket -- a'la, turning my owned single into a vertical. With such short time...

Okay, well, with a question like that, you need to not trust any answer you receive, and please, give all of your capital back to its rightful owners. :confused: