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  1. M

    Why did both stocks and bonds crash on 9Sep16 despite the negative correlation?

    Are you sure about the historical negative correlation?
  2. M

    Buckle up Guys its starting

    The selloff today had nothing to do with the Fed... It's just a big move (bear steepening) in pretty much all developed mkt yield curves. It caused what felt like a typical risk parity puke.
  3. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    It's difficult, indeed, so it's just one day at a time.
  4. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    It's all about the action is in the long ends at the mom...
  5. M

    What is your "normal " profession?

    Maybe it was Zim dollars?
  6. M

    Goldman Sachs Gives Away Its Most Valuable Software

    No, it's not Redi they be talking about...
  7. M

    What is your "normal " profession?

    $100bn of shareholder capital? Really?
  8. M

    hedging a portfolio against a black swan

    You can do some ratio put spreads or some such malarkey, but all these things will always be somewhat tricky.
  9. M

    Oil Up 5%

    It seems that it didn't even last that long...
  10. M

    The War On Paper Currency Officially Begins: ECB Ends Production/Issuance Of EU500 Bill

    Well, maybe you're right... On the other hand, colour TVs did make black 'n white TVs completely obsolete; LCD etc screens have completely replaced CRT.... I hope you see what I am getting at as well? And no, I insist. If I really really really think about it, it is quite Platonic.
  11. M

    Lacker says rates should be significantly higher and I agree 10000%

    How do you suggest "free markets" should dictate rates? What precise mechanism are you proposing?
  12. M

    The War On Paper Currency Officially Begins: ECB Ends Production/Issuance Of EU500 Bill

    Regardless of your subjective judgment about whether it's good or bad, cashless is the future. Sweden, as well as other Scandi countries, Switzerland, Netherlands, Singapore etc are well on their way there. It's all very Platonic, really, if you think about it.
  13. M

    It's been 3 years and I'm back!

    There are many reasons why I, for one, do it... Some of these reasons are a bit more altruistic than others (along the lines of what Baron mentioned). Regardless, stop your wondering and accept that there are reasons. To the OP, well done for surviving... Hope you keep your mojo and best of...
  14. M

    Why didn't the stock market crash on 26Aug16 after stronger case for interest rate hike?

    Well, even taxes appear to be rather uncertain these days, especially if you're a certain large US corporate based in a certain European country...
  15. M

    Why didn't the stock market crash on 26Aug16 after stronger case for interest rate hike?

    it's actually a difficult question... While the DD models suggest a mechanical connection, the correlation, in fact, is a lot more tenuous. There's quite a lot of discussion of this out there, but the upshot is that it's just not obvious.
  16. M

    Hidden Agenda Perpetrated by Congress and the Fed in One Chart

    Well, the question is about the fraction of their reserves which isn't denominated in CHF, so buying lots of chocolates and watches won't help with that. As to the anonymous Swiss bank accounts, it seem to be so, I dunno, 2004... Not so much in Switzerland...
  17. M

    Hidden Agenda Perpetrated by Congress and the Fed in One Chart

    What do you think they should do with their reserves instead of buying stocks?
  18. M

    for FX traders am I correct in thinking this

    Very little, if any... That's my impression in FX and rates. The costs (e.g. jail terms) associated with these "strategies" have increased such that they don't make sense risk/reward-wise. Banks are agency brokers these days in a whole lot of products, including FX.
  19. M

    for FX traders am I correct in thinking this

    Technically speaking, in Japan, the interventions are most commonly performed by the MoF, rather than the BoJ. Given the argument, it's a relatively significant distinction. Point is that the government's (I include the CB) control of its currency is essential. This has been demonstrated...
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