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  1. M

    financial transaction taxes a history of failure

    That is news to me... What specifically are you referring to?
  2. M

    financial transaction taxes a history of failure

    But the US bureaucrats aren't trying to implement this, surely?
  3. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Yet again, all the best and I hope it works out for you...
  4. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Well, best wishes then... I urge you to consider all the other angles.
  5. M

    RBOB

    I wasn't trying to blame anyone, to be sure... I was just marveling at the idea that someone managed to run a giant trackhoe into a giant pipeline. How is that even possible?
  6. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Best of luck!
  7. M

    RBOB

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-31/largest-u-s-gasoline-pipeline-shuts-after-alabama-explosion "A contract crew ... ran into the pipeline with a trackhoe, igniting gasoline and causing a fire..."
  8. M

    financial transaction taxes a history of failure

    When has relevant experience ever stopped European bureaucrats?
  9. M

    GBL Euro-Bund futures curve

    Ha, it's definitely a bit more complicated than this... For instance, if they allow purchases below the depo rate floor, it could mean a lot of shorter-dated bonds becoming available, which means they have to buy less long-dated paper. This could mean a steepening, which would make the back...
  10. M

    Does Bloomberg (or other) Terminal have a "Blacklist?"

    I have never heard of such functionality.
  11. M

    GBL Euro-Bund futures curve

    Bunds are a little different to treasuries. The roll starts trading quite a bit earlier, which means that the back futures are tradable well before the maturity of the front contract. Normally, there's all the typical bond relative value games that can be played with the back futures...
  12. M

    GBL Euro-Bund futures curve

    The common metric people look at is what's known as the "invoice spread" (that's kind of a US terminology that has been adopted everywhere now). Specifically, it's the spread between the fwd yield of the CTD implied by the futures and a matched-maturity swap (either vanilla or OIS). So in the...
  13. M

    GBL Euro-Bund futures curve

    It's sorta complicated at the moment, especially since the back contracts are not exactly very liquid. The March contract, in spite of the optically higher price, is actually cheap relative to Dec, on a whole variety of metrics. Jun is probably even cheaper, but I haven't looked at it closely.
  14. M

    Why is the Yen so different?

    Yes, you could very well be 100% correct and the landscape may have changed drastically for the retail punters...
  15. M

    Why is the Yen so different?

    To be sure, I was responding to your most recent post, so I wasn't specifically talking about retail flows. Lifers, as well as the Japanese megabanks, are also custodians for Japanese household and corporate savings, which means that their flows do count. As to whether it's meaningful, these...
  16. M

    Why is the Yen so different?

    This is one of the reasons (I think I have posted a link to this chart before): Obviously, much depends on whether these purchases/sales are hedged, but I would argue that these flows are very meaningful for the ccy either way.
  17. M

    Why is the Yen so different?

    I can't disagree with much of what you state above... However, IMHO, the underlying core phenomenon remains simply that Japan is a society with a lot of savings (corporate and consumer) and not a lot of places to invest.
  18. M

    Where to get Delta (and use it in Excel)

    I think there are lots of threads here on these subjects.
  19. M

    treasury bonds more volatile than stocks but have smaller IVs

    Surely it would depend on the strikes, no? I just priced the 3m TLT put spread using the "steeper" SPY skew and I see it costing more with the "shallow" TLT skew. To be fair, this is with the upper strike being ATM or close. You're correct for strikes further OTM.
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