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  1. i960

    Dow, S&P close up more than 1%, post biggest reversal in 4 years

    Yeah so I guess those of us who had been postioned for it, traded it, or had previously indicated it as a strong possibility before it even happened are all hindsight analysts because we reflect on the move? Dumb.
  2. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    At the risk of getting all chartist and looking too far out, I could see this happening: Purely based on the fact that I see these DT/DB patterns on a fairly common basis. I actually was going off the assumption that we'd atleast hit that 38.2% fib before figuring out what would happen next...
  3. i960

    Deaths Draw Attention to Wall Street’s Grueling Pace

    I'd absolutely never take a job on Wall Street or in investment banking - mainly because I abhor the whole industry and vibe honestly. It's entirely obsessed with money to the exclusion of everything else - and that's a sick road to go down. I'd much rather trade for myself and then go do...
  4. i960

    UK trader arrested for May 2010 U.S. Stock market flash crash

    If I were Nav I'd definitely be more afraid of the railroading coming from the US side of things than the UK tax concerns. I think if they go nuts and give him 10-20 years for this whole spoofing ordeal then that's out of line and a waste. Why not make him pay a penalty and walk like the...
  5. i960

    The Break Even Stop is a Psychological Crutch for Newbies

    Imo one shouldn't move to break even until the trade clears and holds the next level above or below your entry. If the trade is valid there's little reason (aside from news/other lameness) that price is going to rip back through multiple levels and take you out. Of course the levels you care...
  6. i960

    Dow, S&P close up more than 1%, post biggest reversal in 4 years

    Yep. If you listen/watch CNBC (I don't) you basically have to treat it as a levelling game where you judge both the veracity of the given speaker/host combined with the most likely reactions of their typical audience - knowing that the market always likes to punish the majority. The main...
  7. i960

    Dow, S&P close up more than 1%, post biggest reversal in 4 years

    There's only a few traders I trust on ST. The vast majority of it is dumb money and should be interpreted as such - particularly within the SPY stream where the majority is usually wrong. In fact that sentiment indicator they have has been great for the expectation that there will indeed be a...
  8. i960

    Paying $5 plus $.10 per Option Contract Saved me $480 on 1 Trade!

    I can't think of a single reason you'd ever use a market order for options. Even if you need to get out now just hit the bid or lift the offer. Anyway that other broker is probably selling your flow as most are. Equity markets are pretty much garbage right now due to all the fragmentation and...
  9. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    I'd also add that if you're interested in KC that you follow BRLUSD or Real related news. For Robusta, VNDUSD or Dong related news (make your jokes now). I got fucked on a decent Robusta long due to Dong devaluation some weeks back. DX strength continues to crush these things (producers...
  10. i960

    CME Nikkei USD/JPY spread

    If you're attempting to somehow take advantage here forget about it. :-) In short though they're probably using a mathematical derivation such that people don't try to arb the NKD vs NKY spread vs the yen. Everytime Nikkei comes up though I just tell people to directly trade the N225M contract...
  11. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    I have a whole host of Twitter accounts and other things I follow coffee related but here's some useful daily links: http://blog.pricegroup.com http://drwakefield.com/reports http://www.iandmsmith.com/news-headlines/coffee-market-reports I'm predominantly a technical trader but I try to read...
  12. i960

    Dow, S&P close up more than 1%, post biggest reversal in 4 years

    Even if that green area failed it simply doesn't matter. Everyone should be attempting a long right there. 3 attempts to break support and they all fail plus a higher high after that on obvious strength. It seriously doesn't get more straightforward than that. Here's also a perfect case where...
  13. i960

    Dow, S&P close up more than 1%, post biggest reversal in 4 years

    They'd be shorting it only if they: * Ignored the multiple prior session's action leading up to this point (strength/basing). * Ignored overly bearish sentiment and the fact that there's heaps of shorts for the market to punish at this point. * Ignored the fact that it was forming a great...
  14. i960

    Dow, S&P close up more than 1%, post biggest reversal in 4 years

    I didn't get to trade any of this today - which sucks, but it wasn't all for nought as I had been picking up Oct9 OTM ES calls (1960, 2000) throughout the week and prior which I still have open. From looking at the action there were a million opportunities to get on this comet with probably the...
  15. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Reading the posts 10 pages back right after the NFP dump is a total crack up. People dancing around likes apes "THE END IS NEAR!" C'mon guys - you know this game. The entire point is to trap back and forth over and over and over until the musical chair game actually stops (if ever). Look at...
  16. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Bet it breaks tonight or atleast tests it with significance. There's some buying going on.
  17. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    I don't think so - but I'll admit, I've used "glam stocks" ever since you started saying it. :-)
  18. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    ? I'm absolutely not a bull whatsoever. I think this market is a total joke.
  19. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    IMO fundamentals rarely apply to the front month crude contract. Just trade that think like the casino it is (technical analysis/sentiment/trapped players etc). The further timeframe you go out and/or the curve relationships is where fundamentals probaby hold more sway.
  20. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Took 22 ES points (1890->1912) from last night's Eurasian runup (got stopped out somewhere in pre-market). Back in again long at 1905 in the last hour of cash, ES presently 1917. If we pass 1955, we're going to 1980.
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