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  1. i960

    Oil Rig Count and Predicting a Rebound

    While no doubt oil is inversely correlated to the dollar, the current 180 day CL/DX correlation is about -0.10 right now.
  2. i960

    Technical Analysis Has Contributed To A Massive Wealth Redistribution

    Biased fear mongering used to support the author's stance on the markets and his methods.
  3. i960

    IB forex trading cost VS fx futures cost

    Yep. Anyone thinking they can make free money on the spread between futures and forex for related currencies is going to be disappointed. Additionally even if there is a few ticks there (we've all looked at some point) this is not necessarily riskless.
  4. i960

    IB forex trading cost VS fx futures cost

    Okay so what are you really asking? You want to trade cross-pairs and you're wondering if you should use less liquid futures against each other or instead use the spot? It's dead obvious: use the spot crosses as they'll be more liquid.
  5. i960

    Dollar Index - Double Top - ready to go down ?

    Well I'm just trading based off of how I expect DX and 6E to act honestly.
  6. i960

    Dollar Index - Double Top - ready to go down ?

    DX/ES correlation over 180 days is 0.34 with a 90 day at 0.64.
  7. i960

    Dollar Index - Double Top - ready to go down ?

    My resting short order was filled yesterday on what appears to have been a stop run in EURUSD.
  8. i960

    IB forex trading cost VS fx futures cost

    Because much bigger and faster players are ahead of you. Repeat with me: there is no free money.
  9. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    4 straight days of buying in Arabica:
  10. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    People probably doing holiday stuff. Haven't heard from Rickshaw either.
  11. i960

    IB NYBOT Data Fees

    The problem is those old days also had a different market structure and players vs now.
  12. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    It's not really that man its just that aside from a few minor things the thread has positively been like the Ag Ideas thread - devoid of "I know more than all you idiots" type stuff.
  13. i960

    How Common Are Really Large Successful Traders

    100M is a 1000 lot ES trader so no, not retail.
  14. i960

    IB NYBOT Data Fees

    You're going to love what CME does to the Russell - the cross-arb HFT nonsense from ES and NQ will be simply divine (yes, I'm being sarcastic). Expect TF to change behavior. As far as ICE's current data charges - yes it's a bit heavy handed and ridiculous. Atleast give multiple tiers to people...
  15. i960

    Energy Ideas Thread

    Took a small (4 lot) position in NG Jan/Feb (long Feb, short Jan) @ 0.044.
  16. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    So basically you've got no calls, no revealing of any methodology, plenty of shit talking, and a healthy heap of "it's going up and I told you so" dogma. Blah, blah, we can all make those same types of predictions man.
  17. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    Just got a note from IB that ICE is cranking their rates from 97 to 120usd monthly. That's pretty BS and imo they should be lowering the rates or have a dual tier system like CME. As it is you have to pay data for every connection you use and the stuff adds up particularly with ICE and their 4...
  18. i960

    Spoofing becoming illegal

    I think over time we've now come to realize why spoofing has actually been cracked down upon so much: because it's taking money away from HFT entities who own the regulators and exchanges. Spoofing hurts HFT more than it hurts Joe Retail. Naturally the algos will change to try and detect...
  19. i960

    T/A Fails Time and Time Again - Why?

    As a strong believer and user of volume-based charts I can assure you there is no lack of surprises when time is removed from the picture. Not a Grail.
  20. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    And that's why there's a trade, because what you see may not be what others see. It doesn't mean both sides are insane are wrong but it does mean there's the potential for a trade. A recent rally back up to retest where we were isn't exactly bullish to me. Locally or short-term bullish yes (it...
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