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  1. i960

    Cup and Handle

    Any cup and handle anyone sees these days is guaranteed 50% PB (likely 61) to kill all the early entries. Old book knowledge simply no longer applies. Sure sometimes a classic pattern plays out but the vast majority of time it doesn't. There's multiple phases of early entries getting stopped out...
  2. i960

    Karen the Supertrader - TastyTrade Hybrid Experiment

    Oh, well I missed this post - so what is your plan for that scenario?
  3. i960

    Karen the Supertrader - TastyTrade Hybrid Experiment

    Okay, so what are you going to do under a black swan event then when those options turn into 5-10x losers vs what you originally envisioned? If the answer is "keep my size reasonable so that under 'worst case' scenarios" it wouldn't wipe out more than 5% of my account" then wrong answer...
  4. i960

    AMP not supporting exchange spread margin

    That's a synthetic inter-spread with exchange margin relief and is exceptional rather than the norm. The actual spreads most people care about are not those, but INTRA-spreads like calendars, flies, condors, etc. There's no way CQG, TT, etc combine the initial margin of both contracts and then...
  5. i960

    Is Day Trading Inferior to Swing Trading?

    There's basically been maybe 1-2 people in this whole thread who have even broached the cost of time. If you can make the same or slightly less returns swing trading with less TIME spent doing it, then I'd say it's superior. If you're a market junky and you need action, then you're not really...
  6. i960

    Karen the Supertrader - TastyTrade Hybrid Experiment

    A GTC order on highly convexity exposed options is NOT managing risk. One gap down on any kind of black swan/war declaration/natural disaster/etc. and you're dead, completely dead. I guess you're just going to have to learn that the hard way here.
  7. i960

    Selling delta 3-5 ES Puts with 40-57 days left

    How is this reducing gamma on a trade where you're already short gamma from selling puts?
  8. i960

    Brexit

    Why would they even delete it anyway?
  9. i960

    What is going on with volatility

    Go look at a multiday chart of VX jul-aug or jul-sep. vol got absolutely crushed during the last ramp up. This is a totally legit move and it's due to a combination of real vol and unwinding of crowded short vol positions. I don't see that as manipulation at all honestly.
  10. i960

    What is going on with volatility

    You sound like you're on the wrong side of a trade honestly.
  11. i960

    Selling delta 3-5 ES Puts with 40-57 days left

    Everything boils down to: do you expect vol to increase or decrease and how is the market currently pricing that. Go from there.
  12. i960

    Karen the Supertrader - TastyTrade Hybrid Experiment

    So basically you're just doing a typical Tastytrade strategy.
  13. i960

    Slickest Looking Trading Platform

    You want function not form. If you're more interested in the appearance of your trading platform rather than how capable it is you're already screwed.
  14. i960

    On the Path to Profitability

    Again, your example is unrealistically optimistic and assumes a great run (and completely ignores risk of ruin). No, your 250 lot, 7% of account per trade risk example is fucking insane and you know it - and if you don't know it, then I'm not sure I should trust anything you write at this point...
  15. i960

    On the Path to Profitability

    You're not going to be able to put on 250 contracts after the first loss - c'mon this is a totally unreasonable example. People with 300k are not trading 100-200+ lots using DT margins unless they have balls of steel or are complete nutters (a 2 pt stop is 7.5% of the account). The example is...
  16. i960

    What is going on with volatility

    Exactly. I mean what about 8/24? VIX must have been up 350% while the market was down 10%. There's no point comparing these numbers.
  17. i960

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    We need to have a collection of narratives: "Global concerns" "Brexit" "Chinese slowdown" "George Soros" "Buying Opportunity" I could probably come up with a lot more if I watched CNBC.
  18. i960

    What is going on with volatility

    I don't get what is so "insane" about vol right now. Price is telling you something so why not trade it? No need to make it complicated. Personally I'm long VXN6-VXQ6.
  19. i960

    Karen the "Supertrader"

    Wasn't there also a 100 page Tastytrade thread (that got deleted) where the whole strategy was debated ad nauseam?
  20. i960

    Is It Smart to Trade in US Stocks if You Are Based in the Philippines?

    Most definitely. There's also Hong Kong BTW (HKFE/HKEX). Trading at a higher timeframe also nullifies any timezone issue as well.
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