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  1. BeautifulStranger

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    You made me look at the chart. Thanks for that. I see ES tested a low hit yesterday and is bouncing. Bought 1 mes @ 3367.50 as a partial delta hedge for my ES put fly. Stop at 3365.00. May add on in 3370’s area with initial target 3382.
  2. BeautifulStranger

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    While posting the above, I missed my short entry. That extra 15 points would have capped a nice day. A closed mouth gathers no feet. Especially on Fed day.
  3. BeautifulStranger

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    “Now is not the time for fear”. “That comes later”:
  4. BeautifulStranger

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Sir Vanzandt, just to clarify, you plan to go all in short using all time highs as a sell signal?
  5. BeautifulStranger

    China warns of ‘serious damage’ to U.S. relations if economic meeting with Taiwan isn’t canceled

    Ok, a delay in the Chinese annexation of Taiwan could be looked at as the Chinese losing ground. Why should we want them to lose ground? If we see them as such a big long term threat that we feel the need to interfere in their affairs, then why are we trading with them and why haven’t we...
  6. BeautifulStranger

    China warns of ‘serious damage’ to U.S. relations if economic meeting with Taiwan isn’t canceled

    Let’s put the shoe on the other foot and use the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 as a brief case study. Cuba was a country that came under the control of Communists and developed diplomatic relations with the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. All they wanted to do was put a few ballistic...
  7. BeautifulStranger

    China warns of ‘serious damage’ to U.S. relations if economic meeting with Taiwan isn’t canceled

    It is a clear error to mess with the 50 year or so status quo regarding Taiwan. Taiwan does not have international recognition or a seat in the United Nations and only a country or two supports the US position. Further, according to an article in Wikipedia, most Taiwanese prefer to maintain...
  8. BeautifulStranger

    The real question is: Why is Bugenhagen stuck in Columbia? Is it Trump's fault?

    Have you ever been to TN for more than a day? What if I told you this Trump supporting White boy gave a speech in front of an all Black audience in a tough neighborhood in Memphis, TN? Would you believe me? I created a post about it...
  9. BeautifulStranger

    The real question is: Why is Bugenhagen stuck in Columbia? Is it Trump's fault?

    It seems you are having an emotional moment. I have read your posts for years on ET and see you as a person of character who does try to reason things out. I have considerable respect for you for those reasons. You have let emotions dictate the content of your posts from times to time, but...
  10. BeautifulStranger

    Corona Virus Death Rate will be about .6% to .7%

    Two people this weekend with Covid-like symptoms visited the trucking terminal I’m at. One was a person with a non productive cough who sat down in the driver’s lounge without a mask and coughed for 15 minutes before leaving. I was hopefully safe while in a separate room with a solid glass...
  11. BeautifulStranger

    Stuff's Getting Weird

    The safest thing one can do is to be in a remote location with large number, say 100 or more of like minded people. Being remote, if there is such as thing anymore, with just your family is not being secure, in my opinion. Being in a suburban or urban neighborhood and not even knowing your...
  12. BeautifulStranger

    The real question is: Why is Bugenhagen stuck in Columbia? Is it Trump's fault?

    The two linked posts you provided are not the sum total of my political beliefs. Unlike most Biden or Trump supporters it seems, I am critical of what Trump does and calls him out when screws up, such as with his handling of Covid. I’m on the correct side on Floyd and support police reforms...
  13. BeautifulStranger

    How to Let Your Winning Trades Run: Got ideas?

    While we can’t predict the future, we notice that a instrument will have brief trends, sustained trends, maintain a trading range, or reverse. Two concepts to consider are variable exposure based on statistical validation, or at least based on sound reasoning, and hedging market risk when...
  14. BeautifulStranger

    Static versus Dynamic

    Let’s visualize some scenarios and compare static versus dynamic stops: 1. Position trader with unhedged long position that gaps down below his mental stop. Most likely the viable choices are either to exit at the market or apply a statistically validated threshold around the opening price...
  15. BeautifulStranger

    Hedging on 1/15/21 AAPL call

    Looked up this option. It is priced at $3.30 midpoint with a delta of .22, theta of -.03, and a 16% probability of profit. Each day AAPL must go up at least .15 for you to breakeven on theta. Seems like the call did its job: Protected you from a big adverse move in the underlying. AAPL...
  16. BeautifulStranger

    What is the catch with Robinhood?

    I’m sure the market maker has an ID that shows depending on ones access level. If you don’t have depth of market, the only time you would see the market maker would be when they are on the inside market, right? Or would you see even that? Maybe the quotes on that particular platform just show...
  17. BeautifulStranger

    Seems Colombia is entering the protests.

    The victim was begging for them to stop, just like Floyd. Sick mentality on display by the “officers” here.
  18. BeautifulStranger

    Deep State Phone Wipers

    Herd immunity, baby! That does not kill you, makes you stronger! Strange, my hair just started standing on end. I hear a crackling sound, like static electricity. I wond
  19. BeautifulStranger

    What is the catch with Robinhood?

    You don’t have access to the National Best Bid/Best offer. Your order gets routed to a market maker who keeps their spreads wider than the market. For you to get a fill, the market maker would be quoting, say $.95 to $1.00. You effectively bought the offer. If you immediately wanted to sell...
  20. BeautifulStranger

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Naked? At least be a gentlemen and suggest some 2-3-1 way action!
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