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I can now observe speculators move using my volatility measure and volume measure (liquidity measure), had a good series of winning trades after. Before, I only relied on volatility but I had to observe volume to complement my system. I can now give you better commentary

Mr. Big mac, are you not trading currencies today? I feel sorry for you about USDJPY, the huge spike, it was unexpected, other than that, it depreciated afterward ...

It wasn't a best day for profit but now I can see clearly where speculators steps in to correct price errors (i.e. stabilize huge volatility in price) caused by commercial traders. Besides, when there is no resistance/support above/below then, there is a high probability that there could be a...

I think usdjpy will appreciate to 115 today and just initiated a long at the possible bottom just below ma 20. Looks like the correction is finished. I am so determined to hold it like traditional pairs trading strategy

I don't think it will appreciate to the day high which was 114.500 area but it could be forming double top ... I really hope that it would not touch your stops and hope it depreciate soon, but I am afraid that there is momentum in upmove at the moment. MA 100 has gone higher so I also have...

According to my research, dumb moneys enter during illiquid period and initiate excess short positions and since it's entering illiquid period, there might be excess selling in USDJPY soon, well fingers crossed.

I have just set a limit short just below MA 100 and it's in overbought condition and given that all MAs are around each other, and given that on 30 minute it has entered the correction after a bull trend, I think the next move is a bear - if that's what's going to happen then the target is...

I am not sure too sure about EURO, it has not quite started correction but it's not depreciating much now. I am rather paying attention to AUDUSD and it also has started correction after a bear trend, which means, it could appreciate soon for correction. I might consider pairs trading with...

Are you still holding that USDJPY short position? something might happen to that pair soon. on 1 minute, all MA prices are around each other and on 30 minute, the correction has begun which means, a bear (reverse in trend) is expected

Again, I've just made a profit by buying usdjpy whereas a small loss by shorting audusd...but profit is greater...anyway, it looks like it's entering a narrow range or some congestion now . I am done because it's morning here and I have to do something else. Good luck Big Mac looks like it's...

But I also set limit short usdjpy and limit long audusd in case, and it went that way. I made a small profit by shorting usdusd but also small loss from audusd . When there is a strong momentum there tends to be last push. I don't use market order , just speculating using limit or stop orders :)

Long limit usdjpy and short limit audusd just above ma 100 and below ma 20 respectively

Yep, eurusd doesn't seem that it wants to depreciate below 1.05 level at the moment. So I am monitoring audusd too for a short limit.there is a momentum in usdjpy... Just waiting it to depreciate below ma100 and will consider a long limit

I was wrong...today they use usdchf (short) and eurusd (long). I made a profit by long eurusd but made loss by shorting usdjpy. I don't worry too much because now I know which to pairs trading today - waiting for a good time to short usdchf and long eurusd again; at the moment speculators are...

I still think eurusd and usdjpy are the best tag team for long short strategy. I believe hedge fund are on the same page as me especially given there will a change in U.S. Interest change in the near future. At the moment, I would wait until I see a clear trend. On 30 minute, it's going through...

Yes lol, that's how I found out hedge fund's convergent and divergent & long-short strategy. I had to carry out research using 1 tera byte size data.

Hedgers are commercial traders - they do to minimise price risk (price fluctuation) and that's is the primary reason why futures market is established. There are many kind of commercial traders e.g. farmers, swap banks, etc...some study, yes research on Forex do suggest that banks do make profit...

there is no need for alternative approach. Only momentum strategy (divergent) and constrarian strategy(convergent) generate consistent profits for short term trading. Long-term trading is difficult in Forex unless there is a change in policy e.g. interest rate , inflation

no hedging purpose. They are for speculation purpose. Why those two? because they are negatively correlated through US dollar and they are most liquid currency pairs

You don't have to and you were lucky because you did so because it's definitely gonig up. It has finished its correction. I was right after all, about short selling constraint and upgap. So stock market is much more easier to predict than derivative market because of the constraint. You guys are...