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  1. TheBigShort

    Is Trading Itself a Bad Trade? I Analyzed the Industry- Prove Me Wrong

    Do you know of a site/data provider that shows all current deals (including nano caps and OTC markets) in North America? The MARB function only gives me deals greater than 25 million.
  2. TheBigShort

    Can providing signal service kill your edge?

    Guys like tim Sykes and warrior trading have chat rooms with over 5000 people. I am almost certain they make their money (besides mentorships) from people piggy backing their idea in illiquid markets like penny stocks.
  3. TheBigShort

    The BEST avatars/people to learn from

    I was wondering who some of the people on this forum learn from. Specifically regarding options/trading and financial econometrics. Preferably their forum avatar and forum they post on(if they have one). I have spent the majority of this week reading "Elements of Statitical Learning", and I am...
  4. TheBigShort

    Corporate earnings dates

    Nasdaq.com is delayed. Like REALLY delayed. Which is probably why you are seeing no vol in the MAY 10 cycle. They have already confirmed earnings MAY 15. In answering your question. People talk, you are dealing with investor relations after all. Plus Market Makers have access to order flow which...
  5. TheBigShort

    Corporate earnings dates

    LOL I was thinking of something similar last night. I ended up talking with a smart guy who has some experience in the area and his answer was "for liquid stocks it's pretty efficient and the market makers usually get it right." So the option chain that has the highest IV relative to its...
  6. TheBigShort

    LOL where do you come up with these things man

    LOL where do you come up with these things man
  7. TheBigShort

    The ORATS thread

    Just to save anyone else the hassle. ORATS has THE best implied vol surface data I have seen/used. However, they are really lacking on the earnings side. They have countless errors in their Earnings Dates which throws off most of the variables. It's unfortunate, but I will not be renewing my...
  8. TheBigShort

    The ORATS thread

    Do any of you understand the ErnEffct or ImpliedEe/FcstErnEffct from ORATS? From reading what Matt has written on the documentation/emails/blogs my understanding was, it is how much Implied Volatility in % was being added to the 1 year options due to the earnings event. When I plot the data it...
  9. TheBigShort

    here for a good time not a long time

    here for a good time not a long time
  10. TheBigShort

    CELG on sale??

    Are you still long the shares? If so, do you plan on holding until CELG gets delisted?
  11. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    this is an awesome playlist on game theory from Yale (24 lectures). http://pokerbooks.lt/books/en/The_Mathematics_of_Poker.pdf this book gives you a direct edge. Crush 2/5 live no problem after reading this a few times without skipping steps (obviously coupled with some practice so you can...
  12. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    It's unfortunate this is getting you heated. I always enjoyed reading your paper trading posts. Now you'll have to go on my block list.... I'm just playing dude (about the block list), have a beer, let's take it down a notch.
  13. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    You had all the time in the world before you decided to place your trade and position it properly. If you dont want to be exposed to 20 point moves that's your descison. Once your trade is in, you are at the mercy of the market. How is that any different than poker? Once you place a bet, time is...
  14. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    Well, I would never put myself in that spot, why do you? Aren't you a position trader? Don't you want to find spots your comfortable in? Isn't NQ jumping up 20 points a known possibility when you enter the trade? Just like a 2% outer can get you on the river when you are already all in on the turn?
  15. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    if you guys have not seen
  16. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    Overnight, professional poker and professional trading is very similar. We are not talking about the similarity between an @ home forex "trader" and a degenerate gambler. The tools are different BUT the bad beats, the big wins, the critical thinking, math, determination, professionalism...
  17. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    Im sure they took down your photos from the back room by now. Time to go back!
  18. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    What was his handle? Could you PM if you think it should be kept private
  19. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    Yea that would be a riot. We might lose @sle at the Sapphire
  20. TheBigShort

    Poker player moving to trade/advise please

    We should have an ET poker game. I think @sle plays, maybe we could get some action from @Kevin Schmit
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