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  1. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Does anyone no why WFC is down 5% in 15 min?
  2. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Just a small preference. The PnL at the peak of the the fly EOD was higher than the 121 and it had initial negative deltas. Getting hit right now. was up 20 cents until WFC just started on a Flash crash. Cant escape! Nice trade dude. The thing didnt even gap
  3. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    In on the WFC 132C 44.5/48.5/50.5 April 18 FLY for 2.45. Looking to get 4 vol points out of this by end of day.
  4. TheBigShort

    The man who can’t feel fear

    What's the training like to climb these mountains, I could imagine you have to be in better shape than most proffesional athletes. For someone who is in the office for 12 hours a day, how do you keep your body in that kind of condition?
  5. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    LOL I spent like 45 minutes doing research on this company.. only to now look at the price of the stock.... sorry guys its only 11$ forget it. That's embarrasing
  6. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    @srinir Tomorrow our earnings season starts! Financials start Friday morning with JPM/PNC/WFC. I don't see any edge selling vol here. INFY is on my short vol radar! ImpMv is much higher than avg move last 6 quarters. Here is some fundamental research from Bloomberg. It looks like INFY are...
  7. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Last year I sold a straddle @ 19 on BBBY, stock opened at $13. Good Luck with this one bud!
  8. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Only 2 companies on my screen FAST and APOG. I have no opinion on them. Does anyone have any insight? The trade was there for the first 20 minutes (I was busy this morning). I wonder if Neww got a good fill. But the stock really only traded above 62.5 after 9:50. Thats unfortuante on the YY...
  9. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Yea I got a slightly worse fill. It looks like 10 60 straddles were bought for under $3 before 9.45. I think the best way to trade these it to put a limit order in right in the morning (if there is no gap like in PSMT). We should have made +$1.5 on this trade! But yea, horrendous liquidity
  10. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    I am not much of a price action guy, but on my screen TWTR hasn't had a down day in the past 10 days. Could you elaborate on what type of price action would help you confirm the positive surprise?
  11. TheBigShort

    Intuition of the Vol Smile

    Magic as in Magic Mike? Still waiting for MM #4 to come out! You will realize most of the pnl where your max gamma is (assuming you are hedging)So if your max gamma is lower than spot and we realize more vol below spot then there should be a higher IV. Hence the reason for the smile. I think...
  12. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Looks like no gap on PSMT. Well done guys. Vol should drop to 33-38 range in the morning.
  13. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Could you explain what you think will happen and what final position you are trying to get into before the event?
  14. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Looks like we are in REALLY good shape here guys!! Stock @ 58 (earnings call should be a non-event) Your like those bad signal services that tell you the trade after the close :p. Thanks for the heads up, those look JUICY!!
  15. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/pricesmart-announces-fiscal-2019-second-quarter-operating-results-300828340.html numbers are out
  16. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Nice! I dont know what happened to @newwurldmn fill of 4.55. He must be trading size
  17. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    LOL I mean I got the methodology from you! :p Good luck!
  18. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Yea I got the idea from you! No hard Earnings Numbers but a ton of detail about their comps/sales and other news effecting their business this quarter. Below are 2 snippets from articles. One released on March 7th for February. And One released last week for March. PriceSmart Announces...
  19. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    If anyone want's to take a look, PSMT is releasing earnings tn and they have already announced Jan-March results. I am short the 50/60 60/70 @ 5.20 risk. So you sell options as a directional bet prior to earnings? You should join this journal as we kick off earnings season soon
  20. TheBigShort

    CELG on sale??

    Whats the problem with this chart? It looks fine to me. Don't forget you get 9$ of cash once the deal is complete. Edit** what do you think is wrong here?
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