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    How many traders are actually making a living?

    If you are well enough capitalized, you can under-perform every year and as long as you have more than you ended the year with, be in a good place. (Because a few percent of a large amount of capital is still far above living needs.) Consequently, a good trader in a wider sense has a lot of...
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    Use of Naive Bayes to predict price direction in R

    On a side note, anyone ever saw a relevant Medium.com trading article? If so, feel free to link. I recently became a subscriber for reading casual astrophysics and AI articles but I might as well read any relevant trade related stuff, if there is any. The only articles I saw this before...
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    Tumblr’s latest tumble: A company once valued at $1.1B sells for less than $3m

    450m blogs - how many of those are active and what is the readership per blog?
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    Adventures in Automation

    I was about to pop in with a similar idea. Track MFE at a certain time from entry per strategy and consider an additional (fixed) exit rule to protect profit if FE is unusually good.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Behavior at start of NQ session has been non-ideal (mean reversion dominating trend) so won't trade today. I don't have any conviction on where this session is ending either other than a coin toss. Edit: if I see it breaking through high of session I might reconsider.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Euro session seems to be heating up lately so I should probably switch from attempting staying up for Asian start to getting up my own time instead.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Well, this algo is mostly about scoring a few big ones so I am cutting a lot of my profit potential by taking it early. I should basically have thought harder about the news driving the move - when it's being interpreted as a potential game changer like today I should be holding exit button a...
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Marginal move but not of the very productive sort. -30 on first algo activation and +20 after second one. Newly added position sizing calculations seem off for HKD so I need to backtest algo on some recent HK33HKD data and fix it.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Trying to stay awake for HK market open and China data in half an hour, Chinese industrial output might be fun.
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    From Reagan to Trump: Here's how stocks performed under each president

    Slightly more: https://www.forbes.com/sites/peterlazaroff/2016/07/26/democrats-vs-republicans-who-is-better-for-the-stock-market/#701fab0c239d But yeah, agreed. Who knows, maybe republicans are elected BECAUSE stock market is about to underperform? :D
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Classic case of "let your winners run". Max profit would have been somewhere around ~4000 in total on this algo today. I get scraps because I'm nervous.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Woohoo +500 after going AFK for 2 min leaving auto trigger on. Edit: But lol, exited this one way early. Would have been +2000 if I had waited a bit more. Tariff news apparently.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    NQ has been mostly indecisive today. Managed to catch a small part of up move after open, +130. Not expecting any drivers beyond BTFD, but the question is if that's enough anymore.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Three algo activations today: -450 (started on false up spike after open, incurred stops in a few seconds...) +350 +0 (shut down manually after leading nowhere) Either way alright day since there wasn't a lot of suitable market movement during US session. Will try to trade HK tonight if I can...
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Added automatic trend direction detection and improved risk calculations in intraday algo. While there was an in-sample improvement the expectation is the main utility will come from overriding my dumb cognitive biases. Now just waiting for some market opens/volatility.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Well, I wish I could say that, but I sucked. At least, I should solve a couple of repeatable issues I have before proceeding.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Not trading tomorrow and will fix my most urgent technical debt in weekend, so no Friday either unless something obvious comes up.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Let's see: -600 today and yesterday in total on pure intraday trades. Stopping to post realtime updates as those interfere too much with monitoring. Found out what I need to prioritize fixing, top is automatic trend direction selection in algo because I am worse than a monkey at picking it...
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    So, up 400 on monitored positions. Then down, 650 on unmonitored positions due to sleep attempts (out of all now). -250ish for day. Atm I will have to concede that messing up sleep in order to lose money is a pretty poor trade indeed.
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    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Nah, once again entering pos at Asian session with intent of holding unmonitored to US proves a terrible idea (for me). Wakened by stop sounds, -450
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