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  1. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Buy NAS100USD x 28 @ 7799 stop 7778
  2. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Close +301 Best to take profits early with short. Besides, effect of China announcing they want to talk more before signing will wear off soon.
  3. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Sell ASX200 x -14 @ 6657 stop 6717 Maybe market will regain its senses soon.
  4. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Nope, stayed out. Not in my sharpest after sleep issues last night and market is too fast for me when I'm also multitasking some other stuff.
  5. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    On a side note, today I'm suffering from "missed the start so no point going long" bias as I was still eating late lunch at time of US session open. Hence waiting for trade deal confirmation before doing anything.
  6. S

    Lost 7 trades in a row this week, how often will this happen again?

    If you know your win rate r you can trivially calculate the probability of a certain sequence length N of your trades being all losers as (1 - r)^N. E.g. with 40% win rate almost 3% of trade sequences of length seven will be all losers.
  7. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    We're going to see a marvelous drop if trade deal does not materialize today.
  8. S

    Oanda refuses withdrawal

    "since I am no longer a client at that bank they do not provide any proof for me that the account is closed." Depending on how much money we're talking about, it's probably worth paying your old bank for their time (worst case) or again temporarily become a client... unless your bank somehow...
  9. S

    Oanda refuses withdrawal

    Could be.
  10. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Closed +41, realized minor trade is fucking up my sleep for no reason and tomorrow is a big day where it's better to be in market for a short time with 10x as large position. Mental strength is the most important property in the morning.
  11. S

    Oanda refuses withdrawal

    You can see people complaining about them on review sites but it's usually a pattern of people with very low account balances (when they state such information). My guess is mental gymnastics at work, but I am willing to let OP explain his position.
  12. S

    The Master of Robots Left AQR. Now He’s Coming for Wall Street

    Obviously my opinion, hence alternate universe. No, the book is not perfect and there may well be better ones detailing overlapping issues, however I found it a good summary on a number of topics as with which he would be asking me "have you thought of this? this? this?" when trying to apply ML...
  13. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Sell NAS100USD x -8 @ 7762 stop 7807 TP 7706 Might add slightly on adverse ex. Everything super rosey about trade negotiations now supposedly, not buying it.
  14. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Some crazy headline reading algo moves in NQ during early overnight session. Considered to go short here but needs wiiide stop.
  15. S

    is market random?

    On OP: It's a bit of a philosophical debate. On the most fundamental macroscopic level, everything happens for a reason - on the quantum level, that's however not so (in our current understanding), which leads to interesting implications on macroscopic randomness depending on interpretation...
  16. S

    The Master of Robots Left AQR. Now He’s Coming for Wall Street

    His book Advances in Financial Machine Learning is mandatory reading for any quant.
  17. S

    IB data bug. Offer is lower than Bid!!

    Weird/interesting stuff.
  18. S

    Oanda refuses withdrawal

    They can also refuse deposits if client information is lacking/inadequate/outdated. Their frontdesk contains some monkies that need crystal clear instructions but aside from that I have no issues with them. More info is necessary as noted above.
  19. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Close +198. Well that went faster than expected. (Secured profit because I am not overly familiar with Euro session dynamics other than 30-40 min after main open often having a different direction than after that.)
  20. S

    Snuskpelle's (kind of) Intraday Adventures 2019

    Sell NAS100 x -10 @ 7670 stop 7002 Apparently there was a drop overnight and I think we may well go back to that level.
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