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It's quite obvious there are parties that directly benefit and other parties that directly lose out on USD depreciation, and then there are indirect effects. Just as with any other decision in society monetary policy needs to be a compromise depending on context. The flat out wrongs in this...

Thanks, looks interesting (had missed this).

He's really gonna have to eat it now.

Sure, it's basically tautological. OP is wondering why people say like they're sure the market is trending or ranging. They're generally sharing their observations on that it just did, rather than being correct about what happens next. He isn't missing some kind of magic here, beyond the very...

Of course it's only crystal clear in hindsight (this also tends to conveniently be what most people are actually discussing and meant by statements such as the examples given in the OP). For actual trading you're relying on subtle signs whether a trend is strengthening or abating. I think...

6 years * (8 + 10) / 2 positions/year = 54 positions total. This is a potential problem with long term trading: you can be a novice for a long time, especially so in a bull market. With daytrading you will receive much faster feedback - your friend's fault is not acting appropriately on it.

Info Wars, high quality internationally acclaimed journalism at its best. :rolleyes: To be honest the thread title is sufficient.

With TQQQ & related leveraged strategies you're far best off backtesting what you're doing. TQQQ is great for swings in a strongly bullish regime. Sure enough it's going to crash at some point, so buy & holders who don't know what they're owning will be left holding empty bags. I don't really...

He clearly wants at least one thread on ET front page at all times. (Sorry to be cynical but this pattern is hard to miss.) It's basically fine but I'm wondering if he really cares so much about this one trade.

There is strong correlation in periods, e.g. last three months according to this: https://www.macroaxis.com/invest/market/^GDAXI--compareProfile--^OMX OMXS30 tends to follow USA to a significant degree as well. When US markets open it will usually move OMXS30. Long term trendiness tends to be...

Ok, so how about his loss making operations in golf, hotels, etc? Is the strategy lose money = win? (Sounds like something out of WSB.) The attempts to explain away this are hilarious. If rich people pay next to no taxes in the US (as your logic would dictate, veracity left aside) then maybe...

I'm sure the parrots out there will still be telling me what a great self made business man he is.

Put on Tesla = possibly smart, unhedged discretionary short on Tesla overnight = dumb.

Fantastic link! Can I rely on this staying up? Regardless, it beats scraping.

If you only did it one time for an unseen piece of data, there's a reasonably low probability (notwithstanding all other possible problems such as bugs etc.) it is an accidental result, i.e. it does give you more information than if you had not done the OOS test. You don't just discard the...

Here's the key: You should ideally do just one OOS test. If you're repeatedly doing "OOS" tests you're increasing the probability of the algo/system/signal/whatever passing by accident. And yeah, that's a downfall of naive genetic optimization unless you verify all generated strategies exactly...

Just like reading WSB it gives some insight into what the plebs are thinking. Posters on WSB usually manage to formulate coherent thoughts though unlike the Stocktwitters.. :D

Oh really?

Using standard deviation to quantify probability of fat tailed moves in financial markets = lol

Update: NxCore has deprecated ETF classifications, so that field is always is 0. Confirmed by their support. Given that I would rather classify too many symbols as ETF rather than too few, if I can't find an API source, I will go with a combination of name rules (thanks @guru) and scraping as...