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Assuming you meant futures, I imagine brokers would be super eager to lend you $500 million for lottery tickets that can end up in the red.

That's part of it. The other important use of crypto in aggregate is as a mechanism to borrow in real currencies with paper wealth as collateral. I.e. increasing the collective leverage of crypto holders. That's why the funny money machine keeps on printing, DeFi and what not - people are...

Yeah dat luxury life @ $500/month.

China can invade and win a conventional war for Taiwan now, and the strength disparity is going to accelerate further. An underlining example would be that aircraft carriers are becoming obsolete due to new anti-ship missiles. Compare to the Korean war when China was backwards and just had large...

Yeah. No. Where is his rationale? Hyperinflation is IMO conditional on a complete collapse of manufacturing and supply chains so that very little demand can be met. One thing I learnt (after reflecting on my own failed attempts at predicting doom through the years) is that doomsaying feels...

Uh yeah some people are just too quick to jump in front of an approaching train on the belief it might soon be reversing, failing to respect its inertia. Edit: Not pretending I haven't committed this fault myself, especially in my earlier trading career. ;)

Nothing was fundamentally wrong about XIV from a trader's perspective IMO, it did exactly was it was designed to do and 'expired' after a long good run with ample opportunity to take profits. But I wouldn't leverage that shit. Of course, as for overall system stability/market maker's financial...

Kind of sparse on saucy details (as it should be given public info). Though one might guess that he is one of many that either ignored tail risk all the way resulting in an eventual spectacular blow up, or lost his edge and failed to reduce leverage/size and then burned through his capital in...

Entirely anecdotal, but my GF's short foray into trading (she asked, not my idea) and then longer in investing was disastrous; not as in blowing up, but as in coming nowhere closer to learning anything. She's never going to learn. She's not dumb, but she isn't the personality that i) is able to...

Some random general input that I wrote while bored waiting for food to cook and before paying attention to that you are actually trading options, so your mileage may vary: - You will see more success the longer holding periods you are able to have (as limited by your strategy). Some sort of...

"more chance to be profitable" tells me all I need to know. In order to help you: how do you separate trade systems that have a high chance to appear profitable from trade systems whose expected profit is above zero?

You're unclear about what business problems you are trying to solve: Alpha extraction Risk management ... something else? Also I scanned your recent post history, I've assumed you learnt the last decade since that drawdown that the major red herring in this business is curve fitting.

Leveraged ETFs employ such a horrible rebalancing strategy. You're far better of manually running a strategy in leveraged futures or QQQ that can take some heat before downsizing. Likewise unconditionally levering up on favorable price moves is only a great strategy in hindsight.

The case is just but $1.3 million would have been more reasonable. Making people multi-millionaires for two years of harassment so that they can retire to a mansion and still not work for the rest of their lives is a bit obscene IMO. At that point you will almost be encouraging people to look...

The setup in the 90s in Russia is part of the answer https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Privatization_in_Russia TL;DR-version: Russia decided (based on interpreting advice from Harvard economists) to give away state companies to all Russians, in the form of vouchers/papers on stock ownership. The...

Defaulting when you control the world's reserve currency is enormously stupid. Can just print a few more trillion, few notice. US debts are written in dollars, hence dollar inflation will remove debt as a concern.

Scale X-axis on any typical trading chart until you get a 45 degree breakout. ;)

More accurately perhaps is that the sellers had a higher sense of urgency in that they were willing to accept lower prices. Nonetheless, calling down days "selling" is commonly accepted parlance even if it strictly speaking is incorrect.

Contact police if you didn't. It will do nothing for your case but reporting it is a prerequisite for accurate statistics on how much money disappear due to these scams, which in turn might lead to action somewhere.

Let's see, it would be stupid of me to point to a particular reason, but: Hawkish Fed (rates complex first to sniff this out) Incoming data not so hot in all aspects Evergrande et al Edit: And oh course the periodic debt ceiling debacle that US politicians insist on having ...and this in a...