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  1. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Here's my forecast weights (before adjustments for different costs). Everything with a * is relative value. avg_weights = dict( assettrend2= 0.015, assettrend4= 0.015, assettrend16= 0.03, assettrend32= 0.03, assettrend64= 0.03, assettrend8= 0.03, relmomentum10=...
  2. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Here's last nights risk report. It reflects the rise in risk but obviously not any trading the system has done as a results ======================================== Risk per strategy, annualised percentage ======================================== risk dynamic_TF_carry 33.4...
  3. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Final score was -2.1% I had unusually large price movements flagged across the energy complex and vstoxx GAT
  4. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Ouch. You have my sympathy GAT
  5. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    daily loss is ~1.8% D/D is ~6.2%. Could be worse... GAT
  6. globalarbtrader

    ETF management

    By 'manager' do you mean authorised participant or the fund company or a hedge fund manager that trades ETFs? GAT
  7. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    Not at all. I've seen people talk about swing trading for years and always wondered what it was. So I was hoping I'd find out here. Sadly I am none the wiser. But I agree this is a pointless exercise so I'm stopping.... GAT
  8. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    So a market swing is a period of returns with frequency f r0.... rt for which sign(rN)<>sign(rN+1) for at least one N Of course that is totally meaningless... since unless t is very small or f is very big, all charts will be swing charts. GAT
  9. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    .... and how do you know it's not a swing? GAT
  10. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    Says who? Most professional traders have holding periods longer than a month! GAT
  11. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    That's even more confusing: "What is a Swing? A swing can either refer to a type of trading strategy or a fluctuation in the value of an asset, liability, or account." OK so any time the price fluctuates that's a swing? "This term commonly refers to a situation in which the price of an asset...
  12. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    OK, so WTF is a 'market swing'? GAT
  13. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    So it's any trading with holding periods longer than day trading up to a couple of months. That's pretty broad! I would say it's a broad enough term to be completely meaningless - it tells us nothing about the style of trading (value, momentum, carry, RV, ...). Also, why 'swing'? GAT
  14. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    In all seriousness, can someone give me a definition of swing trading? What is about it that's 'swingy'?
  15. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    Python GAT
  16. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    I trade ~120 futures markets. But I never look at them (automated) GAT
  17. globalarbtrader

    Swing Trading Futures overnight

    I've no idea what 'swing' trading actually is, but my average holding period is several weeks GAT
  18. globalarbtrader

    Histdata.com - how to get forex (not only) tick data for free - automated way

    I have no need for this data, but I feel the fact you've done this as a bash script deserves some recognition. GAT
  19. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Well I do periodically check my bid/ask are good; but then once I have a value for cost per trade I adjust it historically according to price volatility in the past. Yes that's the shrinkage function. I'd definitely advise a sanity check for positive variance, unless it's going to be very...
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