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No, actually it is a pretty lame thread. You've been posting garbage for over a year. You don't even know what a "Black Swan" event really is. I suspect the traffic on your blog will be dropping sharply now, despite you spamming this board nonstop for months on end with the same tired calls.

My take has been the money isn't huge to him, and he's stroking his ego making risky trades that impress others. This can be a danger to all traders, when keeping up appearances is more important then making money. If $200,000 is pocket change for him, there is nothing wrong with his hobby...

It wasn't really a fake move, it was an acknowledgement that projected earnings would usually mean an S&P 500 somewhere in the 1400s and the "risk discount" was getting too high. It is important to note the valuation gap and why it exists ( eg Greece, US economic numbers ). On a pure valuation...

Its a potential opportunity for dumbasses like GrandStuperCycle to cut their losses after they heavily shorted at 1260 looking for a correction. Second time this year he's called for a major correction around the 1250-1260 area. I suspect though he's holding and hoping for 1150, which means...

Exact metric is not important, late in earnings season there are many analysts that state the current earnings of the S&P 500 on a P/E basis. Ballpark is all you need. People would be surprised how badly the US markets have been lagging earnings growth. Shiller I have no faith in there is...

I'm talking on a valuation basis in the US. This is one of the most forgotten concepts on this site, almost no one looks at earnings and valuations. Its almost always an obsession with economics. I think if you research it is clear that current US markets are cheap, but that they might be...

Posted by myself in Neke's journal on February 13th, 2011 : I bought a lot of March call options on this play and made a huge profit on earnings week. TD Bank did in fact raise their dividend, the first time in years. I made most of my money on the predicted RY move, with the payoff being in...

P/E levels do not support your opinion. US markets are extremely cheap on a historical basis based on current earnings. If they rise 16% then equities are ridiculously cheap and have to rally or the m&a activity will heat up again. Please try to be rational, if earnings really do go up 16% then...

Your recollection is terrible. What I said was IF I WAS SHORT I WOULD TAKE PROFITS PRIOR TO EARNINGS. Go ahead, quote any post I've made, but DO NOT ATTRIBUTE IDEAS I HAVE NOT POSTED TO ME. And for the last time, I am no "perma bull". I've posted several excellent short ideas in the last...

The Canadian economy is doing well, moderate but real job growth, and no housing crisis at all. We benefit somewhat from growing emerging markets ( this isn't going to stop for years ). Our historically high taxes have moderated somewhat. The one potential thorn in our future is the US...

Look at the bigger picture for US markets. Its a summer market with volatility in both directions and no real commitment to break the trading range that its been in all year, despite huge news ( good or bad ) at various points. Not a great trading environment, in my opinion. Best to study your...

You do the same thing regularily, but with the added bonus of completely fabricating trading results. At one point last week, you were posting the EUR/USD intraday moves like it is the main driver of US market levels. This is a silly premise, but no more silly then your sarcasm concerning...

A lot becomes clear when one realizes that even a Moderator on this site is in paranoid crisis mode and has forgotten how to analyze rationally. The idea that the US is in a DEPRESSION is ridiculous. However, I do note that the US invaded Iraq when most of the world knew it was both a bad...

Buddy, I've been trading ( swing trading, investing, options trading ) since the 1980's. Day trading was something very recent. Your theory is full of shit. This is the problem with speculating with incomplete information buddy. For example, Canadian investors might remember when Stronach...

Look, dumb ass, I've posted both bullish and bearish calls on this site. The fact that I was bullish the entire fall was the CORRECT call. I've never been a raging bull at any time, but perhaps on a site absolutely dominated by idiots predicting corrections every week, its hard not to appear to...

Let me be clear, I've traded since the late 1980s off and on, and I don't have any requirement to defend myself. My guess is most intelligent and experienced traders have moved on from here, and perhaps I should be criticized for sticking with it for a year. Every time I've given up on this...

I've never owned RIM/RIMM in my life. I did recommend RIM as a long posted here last year, specified a specific target and duration and it hit for a 25% profit. I recently recommended profit taking on a short, which would have short circuited profits. But it seems fairly obvious to me, to even...

YOU ARE A COMPLETE WASTE OF TIME. GROW UP.

Buddy, you obviously don't understand support levels, or how to trade them. I fail to see how I can be a moron for identifying a support level, and I fail to see any discussion of entry and exit points on any trade. But there is a poster claiming there was no entry point there, and there was...

You are clueless. You called for a massive correction at 1260 that would smash 1220. We are now at 1330. You could not make a worse call, and suddenly your "Copper as a leading indicator" idea gets forgotten when it doesn't please you. And, again, when you predict a -10% ++ move in the...