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  1. hilmy83

    Which AMP platform do you think is best?

    I'm using MT5 for running Algo. Its probably not the best, but it meets my simple needs.
  2. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    Backtesting in MT5 is complicated when it comes to futures. SInce you have different contract months, you can't test continously (unless you use continuous contract). Also DST doesn't adjust automatically in test. And also I don't have a "holiday" filter added (i don't trade half days). So...
  3. hilmy83

    How'd your trading go this week?

    random entry fixed target scale in parameter max level scale in b/e stop level parameter pretty simple really
  4. hilmy83

    Flip of a coin..but

    It's random bro. You're just seeing shapes in the clouds, in context of traditional technical analysis.
  5. hilmy83

    How'd your trading go this week?

    pretty decent. Based on random entry algo trading just MES The question is how long will it last?
  6. hilmy83

    Flip of a coin..but

    So if I believe that prices are random, then the only bet I can be sure of is the unlikelyhood of consecutive hits. In a 50/50 dice, what's the probability of 10 head in a row? 15? 20? The longer the streak, the lesser the probability. ex: 15 streak is about 1.5%...
  7. hilmy83

    Crazy paper trading day

    i'll clean you both out..lets go
  8. hilmy83

    Baron's Crypto Trading Journal

    It all comes back to proof to any claims. That's how I operate in these forums
  9. hilmy83

    How can you tell when the trend is over?

    Let me see those statements... nah just kidding You do you babe. peace
  10. hilmy83

    Crazy paper trading day

    Dude, it has NOTHING to do with FJ's strategy. For all we care, he can use which of his balls itches first before placing a trade. It's about real life execution vs demo For someone who traded forex, i'm surprised he's wasting time on demo, especially using stop orders on news releases. forex...
  11. hilmy83

    Flip of a coin..but

    100 trades should be easy enough to get started. But i usually don't look beyond 1-2 years backtest for scalping/daytrading. I honestly don't think there is any real edge in daytrading. I just believe you trade a strategy just long enough before it fails. Hopefully you get multiples of your...
  12. hilmy83

    Crazy paper trading day

    scalping futures on schwab just sound so wrong. Those commissions are redonkulous https://www.schwab.com/futures
  13. hilmy83

    Flip of a coin..but

    Any win rate of less than 85% would make it harder to do https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/flip-of-a-coin-but.372081/page-4#post-5745267 This is live trading results i had last couple of months if i stuck with a certain period during the day (what if analysis). Not quite 85-90%, I didn't...
  14. hilmy83

    Flip of a coin..but

    Also, if you approach this type of trading, you have to go all in. Best way to manage risk is to break up your capital like 5 ways for example. Using this calculator, you can simulate your probability of gettign your capital back if you have high overall % win rate. (remember 2% risk will...
  15. hilmy83

    Flip of a coin..but

    Why is selling option strategies have higher probability of succes than buying options? As an option seller you're basically trying to create a boundry for price movements. When price moves directionally, that's equivalent to consecutive hits on a dice. So you try to create a boundry where that...
  16. hilmy83

    Flip of a coin..but

    Just google brownian motion and financial markets. There are many studies proving prices are random. First post I just showed random charts using random function. If i put those next to real charts, nobody can tell a difference. Or just watch this video. at 10:12, he (quant dev) talks about...
  17. hilmy83

    Flip of a coin..but

    How ironic would it be to win the trading competition based on random entries? If I win it and get interviewed, i'm gonna shit all over TA...ooh that would be so good :D
  18. hilmy83

    Crazy paper trading day

    unemployment rate trade....
  19. hilmy83

    How can you tell when the trend is over?

    Or it means that you suck at picking entries
  20. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    I don't understand why AMP needs to increase overnight margin for news releases in the US session. Basically cant scale in too much in the overnight, just have to skip it altogether. https://www.ampfutures.com/news/margin-changes-economic-news-releases I think they just got tired of sending...
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