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  1. hilmy83

    Prudent Risk Management + No Edge = Positive Expectancy??

    When I backtested, I only did over 3 years, but good mix of volatility, up and down markets. There are some people who swear by 10 year backtest or longer. I think as long as you cover different market conditions, you should just go run with it.
  2. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    I did some speed/ping test of my vps and found some inconsistencies in the speed (under 100mb/s. I actually think it's the vps that's screwing things up. My other vps is consistenly faster (+150mb/s) and it's the same package. I'm using forexvps.net If you are using a different service, let me...
  3. hilmy83

    Prudent Risk Management + No Edge = Positive Expectancy??

    YOu know what I learned after testing out my bot using all different settings: Averaging in will kill you eventually You can make random entry work if have multiple entry tries and you close your trade at the end of of the day. OR trading is the purest trading method known to mankind
  4. hilmy83

    Prudent Risk Management + No Edge = Positive Expectancy??

    EV is 1.11 If you can automate it, you'd be good.
  5. hilmy83

    Prudent Risk Management + No Edge = Positive Expectancy??

    at 50% win rate with 1:1 RR, your results would've been negative with commissions What's your ACTUAL win/loss %? And what your avg win/loss ratio? Those are the numbers you need to figure out if you have any edge. And don't go by just number of weeks, go by trade numbers for sample size. 100...
  6. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    As I've said, keeping yesterday's outlier out. It SHOULD'VE been a normal b/e day. This is what the real account looks like. There were 2 positive outliers I didn't include in this performance.
  7. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    I mean if manual trades have magic number 0, one sell would close the other buy. In this case, that's not what really happned. One closed early, and the other didn't. I think I might go insane over this...
  8. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    My account on the vps was at 37k and the other new account was at 6k. So assuming they communicated with each other due to same magic number (not sure how since it's on 2 separate platforms), my EA thought that it just needed small price move to recover to b/e? like could that be it? That is...
  9. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    So open 1 lot on both instances? then close one manuallyusing same magic number? I think magic number wouldn't exist for manual trades, it's EA specific. I'm not sure how to replicate that with the EAs, unless you're talking about closing with a script using the same magic number. I'm just...
  10. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    Journals is what gives any forum any integrity and also a way to prove a point. I mean you go to these threads and what do you see, just endless back and forth. Oh sure, there'll be few charts here and there, nicely marked in hindsight. Maybe even a few calls, but at the end of the day, people...
  11. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    So I'm trying to figure any change I did to cause this. Now I did bring a new instance of MT5 last week onto the VPS (the one my account is running on). So I have 2 MT5 instances running on one, and my wife's running on a separate VPS. I didn't bother to change anything about the algos running...
  12. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    Well, booked a loss today. The algo initially had a long position, then it took a loss and reversed. Instead of taking a b/e like it's supposed to do, the TP was cut short booking a loss. Completely unrelated to the strategy. Initial loss was -$900, then I decided to trade manually and made it...
  13. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    Speaking of which my bot just crapped out. I decided to trade manually now stuck short at 15485. If it goes to 15538, it'll be major loss due to some malfunction that I still can't figure out and due to stupid action on my part today. We'll see. The funny thing is I have two otehr accounts...
  14. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    I don't think I was being defensive at all. I mean honestly, we can discuss this forever. It's just easier to see the numbers play out honestly. I'm pretty sure people prefer evidence over theoretical discusssions.
  15. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

    Let's just say it's fast that a human can't manually trade it effectively. I think this is one of those age old discussions. I got into the same convo with @Sprout on the Al brooks thread. I rather let real numbers do the talking. My invitation still stands to ANYONE who trades high r:r...
  16. hilmy83

    Index futures automation

  17. hilmy83

    About financing for trading

    Don't bother with these funded accounts. Go raise your own capital; get a job, or 2-3 jobs. Do a gig (uber or maybe onlyfans if you're that desperate)
  18. hilmy83

    Al Brooks Net Worth

    If you decide to do it, it'll be super easy. The journal will have first post with your account NAV. Post daily, weekly or monthly updates of that NAV statement with simple % growth chart. We'll just compare returns % after 1 year. Just so that I don't compare myself to a one hit wonder $10k min...
  19. hilmy83

    Al Brooks Net Worth

    Come on, nobody in their right mind would say I only care about win rate. It's all about the expectancy, and that was my point. @Sprout says you make more doing high r:r. I said longer stagnation of those systems due to low win rates balance out the reverse r:r high win rate systems. By the...
  20. hilmy83

    Al Brooks Net Worth

    I never seen a journal of these so called high reward to risk traders. Maybe you can start one and we can compare % return after one year. Interested?
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