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you know a 20percent crash is even more likely and a 10percent crash is even more likely than that!

agreed. But I wouldn’t use historical data. I would use theoretical scenarios.

I only look at gap risk.

not what you said either. You learned something new too.

This is strictly dependent on what you are trading and how you are trading. As you develop your strategy, you will find what information is important to you and you will have to figure out how to source that information. If you do it right, your advantage will be in sourcing that information...

I thought it was a phrase the republicans coined in the 1980s

trickle down economics means the poor will soon benefit.

mitt Romney John McCain Bloomberg all RINO’s and guys I voted for.

you can model 1 with some vol assumptions. I showed how to do it on another thread you started.

in case you can’t tell. I’m being sarcastic. he’s 18: full of hormones and full of naivety.

ergro, anyone who can't do it is an abject failure.

Louis Hamilton and Sebastian vettal did it.

The two aren't mutually exclusive dumbo.

I remember that post.

Your mindset is the same as a high school football jock (a brain only developed for 18 years). You think you are invincible and the potential dopamine hits from winning are driving your decision making. once you go down the retail trader path, there’s virtually no going back. This site is...

go to college. Do really well. Network hard. Get a job in high finance. Learn. Figure out your own strategy while building connections and earning a kitty. Perhaps you find a partner and start a fund. Or you go out on your own. Or you stay in high finance and clip a 7 figure coupon every year.

Trumps core principle is the denigration of blacks, immigrants, and fringe populations.

for me London is the vacation. Best Indian food in the world outside of India.

so when I was looking for my second career. It was a common theme that hedge funds had pushed up the price of chemical commodities. I will try to find some articles on it. This was specific to 2011. I’m not saying the same thing happend in 2021 (which you know I has a second row seat for).

I would normally agree with you. In 2011, there was a surge in commodities (like chemical feedstocks) which to my knowledge was not driven by change in real demand or supply. If I recall, the rally in soft commodities is what precipitated the Arab spring as peasants rioted over the price of...