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  1. oraclewizard77

    Statistical analysis of Trades and Levels

    I sold my SPY put yesterday for a small profit and then shorted a MNKD Jan put since the decision should happen after Feb, this seems somewhat safe. I also covered my BBVA puts at a profit instead of waiting for expiration as the stock again went under $ 10/sh which is a negative sign.
  2. oraclewizard77

    CL Redux

    I traded badly but still made back the losses. Went short but it was a chase and got stopped out on CL. Then went long, and got stopped out. Went short on ES, got stopped out for 1 point. Finally went long on CL but did not wait for confirmation of my indicator. I set a very wide stop...
  3. oraclewizard77

    Statistical analysis of Trades and Levels

    I previously sold the HBI put for a small profit as I was trying to keep only positions I felt could move significantly. MNKD Jan calls were closed out at a profit. I then bought the stock plus Feb calls. I am starting to think its better to own the stock or longer dated options since the...
  4. oraclewizard77

    CL Redux

    Only trade today for me today is buying SPY put options on possible reversal as we had weakness in afternoon looking like they want to bring it back down.
  5. oraclewizard77

    CL Redux

    Went from - $ 120 to positive $ 130 real money. 1st trade went long CL, main problem with this trade was I did it during low volume which was around 10 pm PST when the market is dead, much better to trade when open, and got stopped out although it did look like it almost hit my target before...
  6. oraclewizard77

    CL Redux

    Wow, really great trade. Was that your target all along or did you watch price action?
  7. oraclewizard77

    CL Redux

    Well, I thought CL was going to go up. However, I bought near a small resistance and instead of waiting for the break, although I think NoDoji says its sometimes good to get in before the break, I went long market. Right after, CL goes down against my position. Now I could have taken a...
  8. oraclewizard77

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I am basically BE for the day. I shorted ES at 1242.75, and took a stop as the market rallied. I was actually initially .50 profitable, and probably should have brought my stop down instead of leaving it alone since this was the high of the market when I got into the trade. When I got out...
  9. oraclewizard77

    Statistical analysis of Trades and Levels

    The costs of HBI raw product cotton is going up. I bought the April put in this stock.
  10. oraclewizard77

    Need Help with Raid-1 ( Data Mirroring )

    This is the best advice for RAID, but for most people I would actually just suggest using an external hard drive and Norton Ghost to backup the data and applications. RAID is more designed for servers where you have 100's of people accessing these servers so they need to be up constantly...
  11. oraclewizard77

    Statistical analysis of Trades and Levels

    Let's take a look at trading the news. Tonight S Korea is conducting drills which has riled the market. Obviously, for this trade, we also what to use a technical setup which I did. I was 1st thinking of shorting CL, but it moved too fast down without me. So then I was looking at the EURO...
  12. oraclewizard77

    Psychology and statistics - I find they help me - do they help you?

    More food for thought... You know youre a redneck when__________? u put ur couch out in the front lawn u can't tell what is a high probability trade You buy a bunch of rotisery chickens from IGA for thankgiving You use a microwave as a cats sleeping place
  13. oraclewizard77

    what's the fine

    Why do you think they call him bone. One of his fines, was 2 broken bones. After that he finally stopped trading, and decided to teach for a living.
  14. oraclewizard77

    I am being SQUEEZED!!!! by the ES

    Why do you need a screen shot, its obvious, it was a losing trade.
  15. oraclewizard77

    Statistical analysis of Trades and Levels

    Let's now look at managing the MNKD trade as new information comes in. New info was a massive insider buy by the CEO as we are within weeks of an FDA decision. I was able to get out of my covered call at a small loss of around $ 30. I no longer want to limit my upside. On the other hand...
  16. oraclewizard77

    So...do you risk the same on all trades?

    If all trades have 60% win %, it then depends on your target. For example lets say I see a very high prob 90% scalp trade, I took it last night real money and made profit. Now lets say I see a 60% win % swing trade, I would not take it, unless it had the ability to generate a higher target...
  17. oraclewizard77

    IB Forex Ideal is gone for good(?). What's up? What effect?

    If you buy or sell without putting in the amt, you will automatically get the min usd. It probably is for example 25,000 not 24,000. Really, if you can't afford to trade $ 25 vs $ 24, stop trading. You are under funded. A 20 pip profit or loss would only be $ 50 vs $ 48. You need to be able...
  18. oraclewizard77

    What is the correct way to think analyse this?

    Do I just proceed the same way as I would for a single instrument (i.e. determine total cumulative return, total Profit Factor, total Sharpe Ratio, total % winners, total average trade, etc for all trades, regardless of the instrument)? Yes, and if you like what you see, start forward...
  19. oraclewizard77

    CL Redux

    Today, had 2 losses on ES, and 1 loss on CL. All trades have been long trades, but then turned things around, went long on ES and CL, and both paid off to end me slightly positive. On that 1st trade on CL, I guess I was trying to pick the bottom. On the 2nd I actually had a real setup for...
  20. oraclewizard77

    CL Redux

    Normally, I don't trade this early, but could not sleep all night, and was able to make a profitable scalp on CL. I see where I could have gotten a longer trade profitable if I waited for it. Anyway, this was of course real money. I was sim trading Euro in a Forex room, it was a profitable...
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