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  1. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    I'm confused. What does being $2.83 ITM mean? Can you help me out while I wait for those penurious option MM's to toss me a few cents more (yawn)? :)
  2. S

    AVERAGING UP (and/or anti-martingaling) your way to profits

    Nothing lasts forever. For a price, I could show you a moderate risk, high reward system that worked well (6 figures) in '08 and '09 but isn't worth squat now. Edges can be fleeting. Sooooo, what do you think worthless is worth now?? :)
  3. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Quote from spindr0: QQQQ is currently $57.17 and you buy the Apr 53p for for 57 cts (45 days until expiration). QQQQ drops to $50.17 immediately. At that point, the 53 put will be $2.83 ITM...
  4. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    QQQQ is currently $57.17 and you buy the Apr 53p for for 57 cts (45 days until expiration). QQQQ drops to $50.17 immediately. At that point, the 53 put will be $2.83 ITM What put is $2.83 ITM today? Answer: current price + $2.83 or $60 put Apr 60p is $3.27 bid so your put goes up...
  5. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    Nothing wrong with your hypotheticals as long as the market cooperates. Given a comfort with owning stock (being an investor) and hoping/waiting for the stock to "eventually" rise, you might also consider rolling the appreciated put down to a lower strike thereby pulling money out of the...
  6. S

    Why might a deep ITM call have a low implied volatility?

    Can I assist? I'm quite good at painting the tape.
  7. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    75% of this game is 1/2 mental! Yogi
  8. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    Can I come out of the corner now? (drumming fingers) (repeating number sequences)
  9. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    Correct, a long put is different than a long call. However, I compared put protected stock with a long call (they're equivalent) which is what you asked about in your original post. Apples and oranges. I suggested other ways (not necessarily better) ) to reduce the cost of hedging and to...
  10. S

    How would you analyze this strategy?

    The stock protected by a LEAP put is equivalent to a long LEAP call. Writing a short term OTM call against that creates a diagonal spread (a diagonal collar). As donnap mentioned, it profits in the middle and loses on the wings. You can eliminate the loss to the upside by making sure that...
  11. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    Cello, how are you? How's your viola? (I should be banished to Yahoo for that) :)
  12. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    A valid point but a bad example. Hedging with longer term options costs a lot less. IMO, using an option that close to exp is only for someone trading in a similar time frame and adoitly, at that.
  13. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    Very few have responded to the 2nd half of your question. Put protected stock will lose, period. That position is equivalent to owning a long call and long calls lose as the underlying drops. The maximum loss will be apporximately the cost of the put plus the distance down to strike...
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    study: selling puts outperforms covered calls.

    Moot points don't make incorrect statements correct :) Covered call has same risk as equivalent short put
  15. S

    How do you estimate future option price?

    There are option calculators all over the web (link to one below). Software as well. Some brokerage firms provide them as well...
  16. S

    Question - Exit Strategy for Vertical Put Spread

    Timing is everything :)
  17. S

    study: selling puts outperforms covered calls.

    Might wanna rethink that one :)
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