Vega is a killer in out of the money options. I have sold options for 5 cents on Thursday before option expiry day and on Friday, the option was worth $1.4 !!!. I don't do it anymore on stocks. If I want to do it, I do it on ETFs. But it is playing with fire specially for small accounts.
I knew that. Somehow I am more biased into selling naked options. If I know a stock will go up a little, I sell PUT and if I know that a stock will pull back, I sell call and in range bound stocks, I sell both PUT and call. rarely I do risk reversal. I have a receiving hand and rarely I give. I...
My post had almost no response till the close and then all of a sudden, Mr. after the facts enlightened us with their wisdom. :D
Just kidding. Have a great weekend. Remember if market drops on Monday, I will come back with my mockery statements. :p
I correct my predictions. "I believe DOW...
It is 11:45 ET time now and market is in deep green but who wants to stay long in this uncertain weekend? Many things can happen during weekend. It is better to be sitting on cash than gamble. I believe market will erase the gains and close slightly in red.
No matter how well AAPL will do after Jobs, I believe AAPL with the same profit but without Jobs will be priced $100 lower by the market.
AAPL without Jobs is like another Intel or CSCO or HP. Faceless.
Market will dip another 0.5% from what it is at 12 ET. Better to sell. It has been up for 6 months. 1% drop does not justify buying. I believe it will go down more after those "buy dip" guys get burnt.
Oil is up almost 10%. There is unrest in almost 10 countries. 10% more increase on gas prices will put a good dent on shaky GDP. Big companies also will not be able to function in coutries like Libya. Good reasons for a substantial correction