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  1. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    when you become spoiled by market going up everyday, even one point drop in DOW is called a "PLUNGE" !!
  2. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    I really enjoy ready different comments. I believe the main danger point is when EPS is goes close to or below dividend rate. Now the Q dividend is 0.85. If the EPS goes to 0.85+0.1x 0.85 =0.94 cents per share or lower, that is the alarming point.
  3. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    I expect the sell should accelerate by close and DOW will be down over 400 points.
  4. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    MCD should drop below 94.5 by today close. If it does, check out the chart, tt hits one of the main thresholds to go much lower.
  5. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    I also used "May" in the title of my thread. Although I believe it is very likely. in 1999, AAPL was a miserable stock and if you told anyone that AAPL will be added to DOW in 15 years, you would get a slap on your face. Bre-X Mineral the biggest gold company in the world died in 2 weeks in 1997...
  6. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    The best idea that MCD has come up so far is to make a burger with dozens of meat patties. Check out the hidden menu that was posted in this thread. It is ridiculous and disgusting.
  7. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    Even I did not carefully read the news. It says sales are down 30% (in Japan). That means one third of sales. that is terrible. "Q1 comparable-store sales fell just over 30% for the beleaguered restaurant chain."
  8. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    another news : http://seekingalpha.com/news/2430666-mcdonalds-japan-forecasts-2015-loss
  9. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    This is a link to an article that is talking about what I said in one of my earlier posts that Teens would rather to go to Starbucks and have a drink than have a fries in McDonald...
  10. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    Exactly and the royalty fee depends on the sales of each franchisee and it has been down in the last 6 quarter. But to give credit to your theory, when Herbalife can still exist and its stock be over $40, maybe MCD can stay longer but don't rule out the possibility that big businesses can come...
  11. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    I don't believe your comparison makes sense. Pizza Hut and Coca Cola have differenciated themselves in the market (I believe and I am not following them though) but MCD after being a successful cheap restaurant which was the favorite of adults and kids, now is out of favor and is all over the...
  12. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    Only less than 10% (that is what I have heard) of MCD restaurants is owned by the company. The rest is privately owned.
  13. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    I said after 4 years. Assume 4 years of bad results and getting out of favor. Big companies when they don't do well, they create big losses.
  14. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    after 4 years they can be bought at $10 per share by a rival and be renamed
  15. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    Quality of food : very bad Price: Not cheap Competition: a lot of better restaurants for healthy and junk food lovers. The down trend for MCD has started a while ago and it seems that new CEO is not the solution. Fighting with Taco Bell is not a solution. Now the news is that franchisees are...
  16. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    INTC EPS for this Q was 0.41 . If you multiply it by 4 it is about $1.60 per year. Based on $32 price its P/E is 20 !!. Actually usually its P/E is between 10 to 16. Even if we consider 16 in our calculations, it should be around $26.25. Tomorrow INTC will be below $30. I promise. Note : I know...
  17. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Just an observation. I have been trading since 1995 and I have not seeing a crazy market as it is now. Very irrational. Worse than 2000, worse than 2008. I am not talking about being bullish or bearish. This is the only time that everyone (government, investors, analysts, FED all see some kind...
  18. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    If you add the inflation that you noticed in your takeout and average with lower price in copper, the inflation will be zero :) Always there is something that Fed can average it with real expenses to show inflation is zero. If price of beef goes up, they can average it with the price of a 40...
  19. H

    TSLA - Do the math

    The way the analysts value companies like Tesla is like this: 1-We have over 7 billion people on earth 2- In 20 years it might go up to 9 billion !! so for simplicity we assume 10 billion 3- All countries like China, India are growing and everyone will need a car and will need an energy...
  20. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Don't you think that you are in denial as longs were in the last 4 years?
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