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Market is expecting the possibility of big drop for MCD stock after it announces its restructuring plan on May 4th. May 8th PUTs are very expensive. Even 89.5 strike price ($7 drop) is 0.18 to 0.28. Based on my experience very expensive. Calls are not that expensive.

True they have free refill and that is a good strategy but quality is terrible. Panera has offered one month free coffee for those who have Panera card and although it was free, I could not stand the bad and watery taste. As they say, tastes are different. Aside from coffee, the valuation is...

Speaking of the valuations, aside from the crappy coffee in Panera Bread and good and so so food and great bagels, after today's earning I put a target of $120 for Panera. P/E is 27 and currently is trading at $180 with 2.5% down after the earnings. I know that it is hard to imagine PNRA to go...

I am short MCD but I don't trade AAPL

I posted yesterday AH that I believe AAPL will be down today to around 130 and it has happened. Check out this chart. The third Q is always lower. 6 inch Iphone was a big improvement for Iphone as many wanted to upgrade their small iphones to bigger ones. That advantage does not exist anymore. I...

Check out this chart. Iphone sales should be lower next Q and we should see a conservative downtrend in AAPL stocks starting from tomorrow.

Now AAPL is at 134.40 AH. My gut feeling says it will be down tomorrow (Tuesday) to about 130. I don't trade AAPL though.

Brilliant. Another 5 billion added to market cap.

There is a strong rumor that very soon an app will be released that will show the location of Shake Shak restaurants on the map and you can order while driving there. If that is released that will easily increase Shake Shak market cap another 20 billion. It will have an alarm that you can set...

valuation is based on the potential and not the current earnings. Just imagine that in 20 years when the population of earth 10 billion and everyone eats burgers and fries for breakfast and lunch and dinner and snack and late snack and Shake Shack has a branch everywhere and everyone is Shake...

Today $38B was added to MSFT market cap and $35B was added to AMZN. $72B just these two. It will be interesting to see how those Billions will evaporate when market goes down. Based on what we see in the recent years that might never happen !!!

Exactly. That "turnaround plan" is just another way of saying "Please give us time, we will do our best to solve the problem" It is not a secret, they are closing the stores. It is not called turn around. Maybe 360 degree turn around !.

As of now 1;38 PM ET today MCD is the best performing DOW stock up 3%

http://money.cnn.com/2015/04/22/investing/mcdonalds-earnings-problems/index.html

if the market pushes up underperforming stocks after earnings and also outperforming stocks, there is a fundamental problem with valuations.

MCD reported the earning before open today. Missed 5 cents (read it 5%) on earning from 1.06 to 1.01. $1.06 was the lower guidance by the analysts. The stocked went down to $94 and then went up just because they claim turnaround is planned. Stock is up because of short squeeze and the fact that...

I found out the problem on why I was not getting 73% as oldnemesis was getting in my IB account. I noticed that when I move the curser on the horizontal bar (price line) in VZ chart, on 42, it prints out 43 and 44 is actually 45 (which is 44 on the chart) so when I added all the probabilities...

This is what I get using IB Probability tool. How do you get that 73%? I know that you are not using IB but once you told me a couple of tools that you used, all gave the same results.

If it is a true down trend it should be like this: On Monday market goes up like 80 to 100 points and people feel confident that Friday was a short term correction and then on Tuesday it drops another 200 to 300 points. The main yardstick is the close on Friday next week. Will it be higher than...

That is the main problem. what about breakfast? :)