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  1. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    I am making money. I short and at the same time sell PUTs so in long run I am making money but not day by day.
  2. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Economic data shows slow US economy => market goes up because Fed will delay raising rates. Companies warn about next Q revenue => market goes up because Fed will delay raising rates. Consumer sentiment is lower than expected => market goes up because Fed will delay raising rates. Chinese growth...
  3. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    I am wrong again. As I am wrong, the market get scarier. ALTR goes up $3 because of INTL rumor and then a few days later rumor dies and the stock goes down 50 cents and then the rumor comes again and the stock goes up another $3 and this keeps going on. Someone at the end will need to pay for...
  4. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Time is 9:57 AM Monday. Market is flat and directionless. With bond selloff and yield increase, watch for over 100 drop in DOW by close.
  5. H

    Short ADI and hedge it with long TXN and LLTC

    I would split the dollar amount received shorting ADI and put half on long LLTC and half on TXN. ADI is 62.24 and TXN is $54.69 and LLTC is $46.06. You short 1000 shares of ADI and get $62240. You put half of it $31120 to buy 569 shares of TXN and buy 675 shares of LLTC with the other $31120. To...
  6. H

    Short ADI and hedge it with long TXN and LLTC

    You can short an overvalued stock in a sector and long a similar stock in the same sector. Check out this: ADI P/E =30.07 DIV =2.6 TXN P/E = 19.91 DIV = 2.5 LLTC P/E = 21.84 DIV = 2.6 CSCO P/E = 17.53 DIV =2.9 XLNX P/E = 18.61 DIV =2.8 As you see ADI is very overvalued compared to similar...
  7. H

    Marketsurfer says short shake shack

    That was exactly my point. No one can say that and that is why I avoid hype stocks. People buy it because the volume is low and when they buy it, it goes up. No one is looking at the valuation now.
  8. H

    Marketsurfer says short shake shack

    SHAK stock valuation is separate from earnings. Definitely SHAK earnings will grow as it is a new restaurant and many people are curious and want to try. The point is that whether even the revenue doubles next Q, is the stock worth the current price? Some traders know the short size of the stock...
  9. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Market wants to go down. with a few points up, selling pressure begins but I also see hesitation in selling. People are not convinced to buy but also watching each other to see how many want to rush to the exit door. Once it starts, it will get ugly.
  10. H

    TZA might go to $15 from $10.85 in no time.

    That could be true. IWM has outperformed SPY in 5 days and underperformed 3% in one month chart.
  11. H

    TZA might go to $15 from $10.85 in no time.

    Actually I see some weakness in Russel 2000 today (Friday). S&P is up 1.2% but IWM is only up 0.6% and TZA is recovering from day low.
  12. H

    Marketsurfer says short shake shack

    Based on my calculation SHAK should be priced at $0.52 and not $70. I have no position either long or short on SHAK.
  13. H

    Marketsurfer says short shake shack

    SHAK SHAK SHAK,.... SHAK SHAK SHAK,...SHAK your burrrrger :)
  14. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    If you are short MCD, you can sell covered PUT for the strike price of 94, and 94.5 expiring this Friday. Bid/ask for 94 is 0.09/0.14 and for 94.5 is 0.15/0.21 If you are long or believe MCD will not drop to below 94.5 by this Friday, you can still sell the options and get a good premium. MCD...
  15. H

    Marketsurfer says short shake shack

    Janet Yellen today " Stock valuations are high except SHACK that will go to $1000 since they are coming up with their own cellphone and tablet " :)
  16. H

    TZA might go to $15 from $10.85 in no time.

    If the short term bearish market continues, TZA can hit $15 in no time as it is a 3X bearish Russel 2000 ETF fund. To protect yourself you can also buy PUT for the strike of $10. If you are long in many positions in your portfolio, it also makes makes sense to hedge them by buying TZA.
  17. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    S&P also downgrades MCD from A to A- after restructuring plan. outlook stable.
  18. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    My question is that whether that "big exciting complicated turnaround plan" which was just buyback was worth 2 weeks to wait? Couldn't they announce it sooner? Is MCD management trying to buy time? Create excitement and hope among shareholders that maybe stock will rally just based on hope and...
  19. H

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    Turnaround plan was announced today. Basically it shows that there is no solution or plan to change the menu or anything that is food related. The only plan is buyback. The sluggish sales and down trend in sales will continue.
  20. H

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Market is up now. DOW up about 80 points. I believe market will retreat at close. Let's see. Read Bill Gross and Ichan calls on Marketwatch.com
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