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Pro bailout party looks like it's going to win this. Euro popping and dollar selling off here. I would be very cautious on any pop we get in the market tonight and tomorrow. I was telling Shan in the office on Friday that I have a somewhat contrarian view on how this could play out. I think...

Dollar selling off and Euro popping here on early news out of Europe.

Baron, what does your leg workout look like?

Major breakout in the pound vs the dollar.

The US Dollar Index is currently trying to make a monthly A down. I've often talked about how the longer you go in between signals, the better they usually are. The last monthly A down in the dollar was last October! My monthly level is 82.08.

EUR/USD now confirmed a weekly A up as well as a monthly A up. Interesting action ahead of the Greek elections.

No, I do not trade like Taleb. And no I do not usually put on neutral positions waiting for a big event. I've had these positions on for awhile along with nat gas. I trade directionally. ES confirmed a monthly A down and I got short and have used rallies to add to my short ES position. I'm...

Ron, I own some some downside puts in the ES for even money but I'm also short bonds via some out of the money calls and long puts (conversion). Overall, I would describe the position as neutral with the potential for some nice p&l on a sharp selloff. I'll put positions on next week after the...

OK, I remember on the ACD thread where you said you traded all night from midnight to 6am or something. But anyway, so you are short EUR/USD. Which is making a monthly A up btw. I have very little on. Just some option positions on the bonds and the ES

Against what? You hold on to positions for 2 months at a time? For some reason I thought you were a daytrader. My bad.

Ron, what do you have lined up?

Not if they were long! :)

Hey King...u around? Check out your cotton. Monthly A up today after going limit up. Giddy up!

Well I share views with people I respect as well. I also respect many people who do NOT share my world views. You know...because that is how I roll...

Whether or not "they" are successful has nothing to do with your point of view or theirs. Believe whatever you want. As far as my point of views, I am smart enough to separate them from my trading. I'm almost always trading against what I "believe". Price is truth.

So...there was that move in natty today...

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Hollywood/2012/06/14/Spielberg-Bain-Obama These people are so desperate. If their bullshit ideas had any value, they could sell themselves. Since they don't, they need Hollywood to fantasize them.

I saw that interview. This guy makes a lot of great points. I have seen his argument play out all too often. Deep down inside liberals also know this but will never admit it to it.

Why do you find comfort in others sharing your views? Do you not have enough faith in your own ideas? FWIW, most big macro guys tend to be Keynesians out of necessity. They tend to be more long only oriented (long inflation) and benefit greatly from it. They also are smart enough to know...

What are your positions?