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  1. M

    The ACD Method

    Good article. I agree with his thesis. There is a massive day of reckoning coming. But I'm pushing this further and further out into the future. The realized vix (or stat vol) has been consistently in the 7's. We actually had a 5 print once. I believe this summer stat vol will print 5...
  2. M

    The ACD Method

    The VIX will hit a 7 handle before we top.
  3. M

    Billions!!!!! 2017! Yeah Baby!

    You can really tell Colbert is an asshole in real life. Damian Lewis actually does a fairly good job of explaining the motivation of his character.
  4. M

    The pricing in of US rate hikes

    My very good friend Marty is correct as he usually is on discussions about rates. :) The Fed's role in the economy is to control "short term" rates, not the 10 year or 30 year. In fact they target 30 day fed funds. Further out in the curve the market pricing is reflective on many different...
  5. M

    CL Journal

    Stopping out and re-entering immediately is the same thing. REFUSAL TO ACCEPT A LOSS. It's what eventually dooms all traders.
  6. M

    CL Journal

    Terrible. The guy averaged down into a 9 pt selloff in CL. Got stopped twice and kept adding. Yeah, some real skill on display here. I have a thread I've been running for 8 years on this site. You should check it out sometime.
  7. M

    The ACD Method

    I do have have another MAV call to make....
  8. M

    The ACD Method

    Interesting...thnx.
  9. M

    this option is only sensitive when mkt go against it

    No, I meant what is stopping you from learning about how options are priced? This is a great book: FX Options and Structured Products (The Wiley Finance Series) Jul 24, 2017 by Uwe Wystup Hardcover $ 84 67 $90.00Prime Available for Pre-order. This item will be released on July 24, 2017...
  10. M

    this option is only sensitive when mkt go against it

    Do you care enough to spend a weekend reading an options book? If not, why are you trading them?
  11. M

    The ACD Method

    Yes, but to clarify something here, one can't just "trade" crypto. You have to actually acquire bitcoins and use them to trade on these exchanges. That is really the stumbling block for a lot of people including myself. Personally the vol in oil and gas is perfectly fine for me. I do agree...
  12. M

    Billions!!!!! 2017! Yeah Baby!

    See, I thought they would go the other way. Any show that discusses ATM without referring to options is certainly not predictable. I think this show wants to show how the "lawman" can slowly become that which he is hunting. The show would be boring if it came down to rich man is bad...
  13. M

    Interactive Brokers - margin calls

    They will liquidate it into shares of AAPL and then take them from you. No one said trading was easy...
  14. M

    Billions!!!!! 2017! Yeah Baby!

    Here is the question: Two men, Axe and Rhodes, both have an intimate relationship with Wendy on a personal level. She provides the bridge for both men to destroy the other. Which man do you think will destroy her and which will save her.
  15. M

    Interactive Brokers - margin calls

    Cash can be liquidated at a moments notice. If all your money is in cash, IB considers it a concentrated position. Big no no. :)
  16. M

    The ACD Method

    Wow. Fascinating. This is what real markets use to look like. Thanks for sharing.
  17. M

    The ACD Method

    Can you walk me through this. Pretend I know nothing about this. You are able to buy and sell coins in which you do not own? How exactly is this happening? Any links you can provide to these exchanges would help.
  18. M

    The ACD Method

    How are you trading it?
  19. M

    CL Journal

    The chart is upside down. :)
  20. M

    HLF

    It's not a steal. The stock is breaking out to all time highs. It might last 3 days, 3 weeks or 3 months. It's just a trade. I trade mostly Carbon. Terrible for the environment, but good for my pocketbook. It's just numbers.
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