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  1. M

    The ACD Method

    So I'm guess I'm the only one that listened to the webcast. I thought it was outstanding. I'll try to review the main points here. While Gundlach wants to believe this bull market is nearing an end and that a recession has to be on the horizon sooner rather then later, he sees no empirical...
  2. M

    cool stories from a proprietary trading firm

    Sle, it's VERY rare that someone would pay to work for someone. If they did, it would be cash under the table. There are very strict labor laws as I'm sure you know and the securities industry is highly regulated. I worked at a firm like this many many years ago where guys made 100k to 500k a...
  3. M

    The ACD Method

    Tomorrow Jeffrey Gundlach gives his famous 2018 outlook webcast. You can watch it free here. https://event.webcasts.com/viewer/event.jsp?ei=1172357&tp_key=16b296528f I highly suggest that you all tune in. His forecasts are about as good as you are going to find available for free.
  4. M

    New !! CME Fed Funds-Eurodollars Exchange Spread

    I would highly recommend Burghardt's book on the longer end of the curve as well called "The Treasury Bond Basis". As well as "The Bond Market" by Christina Ray.
  5. M

    New !! CME Fed Funds-Eurodollars Exchange Spread

    That's a little better.
  6. M

    New !! CME Fed Funds-Eurodollars Exchange Spread

    Aye Marty, is there ever a time of year where you lighten up? It's funny...you can laugh a little. LOL.
  7. M

    Profiting from New tax plan

    Bonds came off two full handles. You want more? LOL.
  8. M

    Profiting from New tax plan

    Not exactly. Foreign buyers got killed on their dollar exposure this year. That "extra" yield cost them big time if they didn't hedge their currency risk. A common explanation is that large trade deficits, specifically to China, causes those countries to build up dollar reserves which in turn...
  9. M

    Profiting from New tax plan

    So record VIX sub 10 closes has not been a boring market? :) I guess this leads to another old saying, "if you apply enough leverage, no market is boring.
  10. M

    Profiting from New tax plan

    Well, that hasn't worked since 2008. But as I always like to say, if the ball comes up red 10 times in a row, then black is due! I just wish maybe 5% of what I learned in my economics curriculum in school actually worked in real life. LOL. Why do markets always have to be so "tricky"? :)
  11. M

    Any idea why /NG tanked so much?

    Yes but the value of a CL contract is 57k compared to about 26k for natty! CL is over twice the size with only a 10% larger "dollar range".
  12. M

    Bitcoin Price Thread

    BTC: 167 XBT: 575 So CME is winning the liquidity war being that 1 BTC is equal to 5 XBT.
  13. M

    Profiting from New tax plan

    Short Bonds...
  14. M

    The ACD Method

    In case you guys missed it, Jeffrey Gundlach gave a great interview on Friday about 2018 on CNBC. https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/13/cnbc-exclusive-cnbc-excerpts-doubleline-capital-ceo-jeffrey-gundlach-speaks-with-cnbcs-scott-wapner-today.html This link has some of the main points as well as...
  15. M

    The ACD Method

    Good to see you back! I'll check it out.
  16. M

    Any idea why /NG tanked so much?

    And in case you are interested, here is the rolling 5 day stat vol.
  17. M

    Any idea why /NG tanked so much?

    I'll save you the time. Here is the 30 day rolling day stat vols for CL vs NG for 2017.
  18. M

    Any idea why /NG tanked so much?

    It's a LOT more volatile then CL. Always has been.
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