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  1. M

    Cushing predicting another crash in oil prices?

    So you are short oil?
  2. M

    The ACD Method

    Vol is cyclical. The next two years will see a return to a more normal vol structure but after the transition to the lost decade vol will start to bleed down again.
  3. M

    The ACD Method

    The markets look very normal in ACD land. We made a monthly A down in Feb. We only made one monthly A down all of last year and that was in August. March was a consolidation month and I suspect April will be as well. Both the monthly and QTR A down are at 2500. I think it's a safe bet we...
  4. M

    The ACD Method

    By trading well, it's kind of like saying to play sports you need to be a good athlete to start. Talent won't help much if you don't have the fundamental skills needed. To me the basic raw fundamental skills of a good trader is one that is not emotional, very disciplined, patient, and...
  5. M

    The ACD Method

    A couple of reasons. One, ACD is meant to help traders make informed decisions. This includes filtering asset classes, looking for relative value, and spotting rare opportunities. You still have to trade the product well, but ACD will improve upon that process. Another issue is momentum...
  6. M

    T4

    T4
  7. M

    Saltynuts's trend following journal

    I agree for learning how to use the software properly, using a sim is fine. But emotions create action both good and bad. He needs to learn how to trade. Losing real money is one of the biggest motivators to putting in real work. Right now this guy is just starting 100 threads a day asking...
  8. M

    Saltynuts's trend following journal

    Without emotions it's useless. Especially for daytrading.
  9. M

    Saltynuts's trend following journal

    Agree, papertrading is useless. Just trade real money but trade small. You can trade one share of SPY if you want.
  10. M

    Tudor Jones h8ing on tax reform

    He hasn't won much of anything Atty over the last decade. LOL. Still love his documentary.
  11. M

    Tudor Jones h8ing on tax reform

    PTJ: an oldy gut goody from 2009. Great call PTJ! http://www.businessinsider.com/paul-tudor-jones-this-is-a-ski-jump-recession-2009-9 Paul Tudor Jones: This Is A Ski-Jump Recession Joe Weisenthal Sep. 1, 2009, 5:50 AM The funds managed by famed trader Paul Tudor Jones aren't betting on an...
  12. M

    10,000 hours to learn trading - Who wrote this rule?

    You're right. Trading probably requires FAR more than 10,000 hours.
  13. M

    The ACD Method

    Jeffrey Gundlach will be on the Halftime Report today on CNBC. Should be interesting to hear his thoughts on rates and commodities.
  14. M

    What Nassim Taleb Did on Black Monday 1987

    I don't agree with that. They have stated for years that they were bleeding from 2009 to 2016 with the exception of that spike in jan of 2016. I have watched interviews were Mark stated the fund was losing money during those lean years. I don't know where you are getting this idea that all...
  15. M

    What Nassim Taleb Did on Black Monday 1987

    OK, so I have an issue with this. Say you were an investor with Universa. And you read some article where they are stating they made X and you know they made Y. One, you could sue them. Two, you would certainly pull your money out. And three, they would be in violation of countless...
  16. M

    What Nassim Taleb Did on Black Monday 1987

    TAIL is a simple rules based ETF with no leverage. It's not as robust as perhaps a true hedge fund and why would it be. It just gives you something to look at since most hedge funds in this space don't publicly report their numbers.
  17. M

    What Nassim Taleb Did on Black Monday 1987

    That was me. The ticker is TAIL. It has only be around for about 10 months.
  18. M

    What Nassim Taleb Did on Black Monday 1987

    That is not correct. They do not provide the long component. They don't care what you do with your assets. You are paying them to insure x% of your portfolio. You could be long bitcoin for all they care.
  19. M

    What Nassim Taleb Did on Black Monday 1987

    They claimed 100%.
  20. M

    Trump Admin Proposes Fees for Futures Industry

    It's not going to pass. BTW, the fee was not going to be place on traders but on registrations and possibly examinations. I agree fees and regulations once started tend to spin out of control but the one area where we need more regulations is in the futures industry. The amount of fraud is...
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