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108.40 and rising...

Euro popping on early results...

Only options on futures.

As I've said before, one thing the market will know for sure after this round today is who will NOT win. This should dampen volatility for the 2nd round.

I just wanted to further clarify...in case anyone interpreted my comments into this being simply an event driven vol scenario. I'm actually betting on "movement". If the Euro goes no where I won't make any money which is usually the opposite of the case of someone who say would sell a...

Well, I constructed a position that acts like a long straddle while technically being short vol. The profits are going to come from the movement in the Euro, not from being short vol. The levels in vol just allowed me to move my strikes further out. It's a little more complicated then just...

I'm now short option vol in the Euro land. I actually have some upside and downside exposure in Euro. Basically looking for a big move in either direction. Regarding LePen, there are 4 major candidates, another 4 secondary tier and a few additional ones that we can probably ignore. It will...

The real market mover is going to be the margin of the top finisher. The market is watching the 30% level for LePen. The market does NOT want her to exceed 30%. The second number they are watching is 5%. If LePen would come in first by a 5% or higher margin, then this would also be bearish...

That's what I love about energy, it never stops moving....usually. :)

TJ!!!!!!!!!!!!! You're back! Hey Marty, look who's back. Missed you fella. :)

Over half of Europe has presidential elections in the next year. It's going to be busy in the FX world.

http://viliconsalley.com/2015/11/03/silicon-valley/engineer-commuting-from-hawaii-to-san-francisco-to-save-money-on-rent/ Getting creative....

The number lines actually do a great job of absorbing the news events and discounting them properly. No single one -4 or +4 day should really change anything. My number lines have transitioned from very strong post inauguration to choppy now. And sure enough, the market is choppy. I should...

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/14/technology/new-zealand-tech-industry.html You are going to see more and more of this.

How are the poor benefiting from 3500 a month avg rents in the bay area? How are they benefiting from having to commute 3 hours each way because they can't afford to live in a taco stand in a side alley in some shit forsaken neighborhood? "Where do they teach you to talk like this? In some...

Just an fyi, trolls have been unsuccessful for 8 years running on this thread. Your hit rate will improve elsewhere. Just looking out for ya...

http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Rockridge-teardown-real-estate-Oakland-19-offers-11083945.php

The summer is NOT the slow months. In fact, I predict this summer will be very volatile. Winters going forward will be much less volatile and summers more so. Volatility in natty is correlated to storage levels and natty is going to be very tight all summer. It's burned through the entire...

There is a nice 1,317 page summary that I think does a good job summing everything up for ya. The opinions usually lead to a value added response on here so be sure not to skip those. Good luck! :)

I'm long Euro vol which I'm absolutely dumping Friday. I'm going to be selling Vol going into next week.