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There is a lengthy process one undergoes to determine variables to use for a model that I'm sure you have long forgot in your college stats class. I'm not going to bore you be going through all the steps but there is a step by step process for determining significance, omitted variables, and...

No, we never use the word causation. It can NEVER be known. The word we use is "association". For example: An individual who is overweight is associated with an increase risk in having heart disease. Being overweight may or may not cause heart disease but the data is showing an association...

Yes, this is all the types of stuff you learn in statistics. The idea of taking a sample from a population is that provided that the data is Gaussian (normally distributed), then a large enough sample should approximate the data from the entire population. This is always the assumption you...

You are correct. I shouldn't be posting at midnight. :)

Just to further explain...the idea of programming is to find edges. We use R to collect data and test data to prove statistical edges. Once an edge is found, it can be traded any number of ways..manually, automated, both, etc. So say you have a theory, that 30 NLs in currencies have the...

Which packages are those?

DTN is good too.

This is exactly what we do. I'm working on my R skills as well. But we have a massive database of NLs for every product in this world and the next and it's all data analysis. I don't even look at charts anymore. LOL.

He knows about the thread. I've told him. He is not terribly interested in ACD these days. If any of you guys live in the Miami area, he does have an office down there and has a small group of guys there. I can point you in the right direction.

Zany. I like you. You seem like a smart kid. Be careful. I don't know what you really do for a living. I think you said you are married, maybe a kid, not sure. Just be careful. Math and statistics is what keeps us grounded in this game were emotions and biases can overtake us. Opinions...

Huh? LOL.

You still need to understand statistics. Long term fundamentals are function of the present value of the future cash flows. But to calculate the proper discount rate to derive that PV you need to understand probability to properly value the variation in the cash flows.

You need to take a statistics class at DePaul bud. Anecdotal data doesn't work well.

I trade mostly oil and gas. I do it for a living.

We'll see 85 then 100. Stocks don't hang out at the highs that long to go lower. This will be another bear trap.

And you're not even short....shame.

Come on Beck...we're cool man. No hard feelings. Seriously, just relax.

Atticus, why all the aliases? And why the hate bro?

Every bottom you called made a new lower low. You are 0 for whatever....

Sooner or later you will be right of course.