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  1. M

    Peterffy (IB) takes out ad in WSJ to warn against BTC futures

    It would be something similar to the CFE, the chicago futures exchange that trades the VIX. Have one exchange with its own capitalization requirements, it's own clearing members, and it's own brokers.
  2. M

    Peterffy (IB) takes out ad in WSJ to warn against BTC futures

    What is he saying is that this product needs to decouple from the rest of the market so if a fire starts, it doesn't burn the whole world down. You keep the fire contained on one specific exchange away from everything else. If you mix BTC with everything else, the fire will spread, there will...
  3. M

    Peterffy (IB) takes out ad in WSJ to warn against BTC futures

    I'll be curious which brokers even allow access to this product. I have a suspicious that they might impose a 100k minimum account value to trade it. Or at least to short it. The long side is not the issue. Here is what will end up happening. The small ET guy will get pissed he can't trade...
  4. M

    Peterffy (IB) takes out ad in WSJ to warn against BTC futures

    Right. I saw his interview on CNBC today and he makes a good point. He wants to see these futures trade on their own independent exchange, that is all. He fully supports the trading of them, just not on the CME. His argument is that a massive margin call on the exchange could lead to a...
  5. M

    CME Group Announces Launch of Bitcoin Futures

    Yes and expected overnight margin at 20%.
  6. M

    Why Interactive Brokers Founder Fears Bitcoin Futures

    Peter Duffy just said the margin is likely to be around 20% and he is expecting a mid December launch. Just in time for Christmas! :)
  7. M

    What lessons can traders draw from Amaranth blow-up?

    Well, that is what happened with John Arnold. Our hero. :)
  8. M

    What lessons can traders draw from Amaranth blow-up?

    Well, that is what happened with John Arnold. Our hero. :)
  9. M

    CME Group Announces Launch of Bitcoin Futures

    There is no way to short the digital coin itself. That's in a way part of the structure of the product. Being able to short anything is really about lending and debt and as of now, I don't think there is a way to lend your BTC to someone else. And you can't sell something you don't own if you...
  10. M

    Why Interactive Brokers Founder Fears Bitcoin Futures

    You know what, that is probably what they were thinking. Even at the current size if this thing triples we are talking 100k margin to hold one contract? LOL.
  11. M

    Why Interactive Brokers Founder Fears Bitcoin Futures

    http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/bitcoin-futures.html
  12. M

    Volatility Trade - countertrend

    Selling VX futures and forcing them down below their fair value will just bring buyers into the market for VX. It would be a gift for hedgers as they would be able to insure their holdings at cheap prices while their stocks were falling. If you ever see this happening, please let me know. :)
  13. M

    Why Interactive Brokers Founder Fears Bitcoin Futures

    I thought it was 5 coins per contract?
  14. M

    Why Interactive Brokers Founder Fears Bitcoin Futures

    So about 32k in margin per futures contract?
  15. M

    Why Interactive Brokers Founder Fears Bitcoin Futures

    I have a different perspective. If you fear BTC then you should increase access, not decrease. Let the thing implode. The faster it implodes, the less risk to the system. One of the things that has kept BTC from entering an all out bubble is ease of access. It's still relatively hard for...
  16. M

    Volatility Trade - countertrend

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/13/business/dealbook/market-volatility.html Interesting guy. Started his fund in 2012 with a million and now has 200 million. He must be doing something right. Also, I doubt this guy is "sitting" on long vol. He is actively trading it. And by the looks of...
  17. M

    Volatility Trade - countertrend

    So you saying the best long vol trade is to actually write a book about long vol. Very clever. And true of course. :)
  18. M

    Interactive Brokers Futures Margin

    Thinking of getting off the sim? Good for you bud. The entire ET community has your back! :)
  19. M

    Anyone trade the ICE FANG contract today ?

    Doesn't IB brag that pay you those high borrow rates when a stock is hard to borrow so they can lend your shares?
  20. M

    The ACD Method

    -2 The bill is in the mail.
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