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  1. K

    is Cathie Wood’s fund in trouble?

    Well it's an ETF. But, don't worry, you can put your trust in her and have her lock up your money with her brand new private equity fund: https://www.barrons.com/articles/cathie-wood-private-equity-investors-51644017610
  2. K

    is Cathie Wood’s fund in trouble?

    The balance sheet looks great, but they're diluting the stock to pay off debt. They issued $350 million warrants in October...
  3. K

    is Cathie Wood’s fund in trouble?

    I admit I know little about it, but I'm generally not interested in stocks that have 99% retracements from their IPO. It's a volatile play on crude. However, using WTI as a benchmark you'll find this stock has gone down much faster when crude moves down than moves up when crude moves up. I don't...
  4. K

    The Sky is Falling

    The markets just needed to hear Biden's soothing voice to catch a bid.
  5. K

    Does anybody know the real numbers for Dutch Bros?

    What do you think of SHAK? Stock has been a dud since its IPO. However, they plan to open 50 more locations in 2022 and are going to add drive thrus at many locations. One chain that has failed miserably since its IPO is Potbelly (PBPB). They were pretty popular in my office in NYC, but they...
  6. K

    Does anybody know the real numbers for Dutch Bros?

    CMG and DPZ are what made me start looking for the next hot restaurant stock. Many don't realize, but DPZ was actually the 2nd fastest growing stock after NFLX in the previous decade. I thought I might find something more under the radar than these high flying overpriced tech stocks. I was also...
  7. K

    Does anybody know the real numbers for Dutch Bros?

    Thank you very much. This is a very useful post. I was all excited when I thought it was a $2B company. I thought I found a diamond in the rough that had an easy path to quadrupling within the next 5 years. That's a big offering to further dilute the share value. I'll stay away.
  8. K

    Does anybody know the real numbers for Dutch Bros?

    Technical analysis is the last thing I look at to invest. I only believe in investing when I believe something is of good value fundamentally. It's a recent IPO that doesn't have much of a chart to work with.
  9. K

    Does anybody know the real numbers for Dutch Bros?

    I'm wondering if it's investable, not tradeable. I think it will grow to several thousand stores over the next decade, but if it's already at an $8B market cap, the company doesn't seem like a good deal.
  10. K

    What's the best way to get involved with Palladium investing?

    Russia produces 40%.
  11. K

    Does anybody know the real numbers for Dutch Bros?

    Seems like it's a good business with lots of room for aggressive expansion. However, I'm seeing market caps from $2B to $8B. I'm curious what their real P:S ratio and market cap is.
  12. K

    is Cathie Wood’s fund in trouble?

    Never say never. They might be able to muster up a dividend. Don't forget that DRYS did in 2018.
  13. K

    Gov. DeSantis Has Nearly Double Digit Lead Over Democratic Challengers

    It's an off year election with Democrats fully in charge. Inflation is through the roof in FL. If the election were held today there's basically no chance a Democrat would win this state (which already leans red). DeSantis would probably win comfortably and Rubio (who's a lot less polarizing)...
  14. K

    is Cathie Wood’s fund in trouble?

    At 60 x sales, if ZM were to stay at 25-30% profit margins (similar to AAPL) and keep up a growth rate of 25%/year, they could reach AAPL's current P/S of 8 and 28 P/E ratios. Now ZM after dropping 75% from those levels she started buying, 1.3 years later it is priced at a P/S of 10 and P/E of...
  15. K

    is Cathie Wood’s fund in trouble?

    Being the most successful doesn't mean you're the smartest or most logical. There's plenty of smart people who aren't always logical. Hubris often gets in the way. There's a lot of factors in play. Where you came from, who you know, your level of ambition, how well you interview, interests...
  16. K

    is Cathie Wood’s fund in trouble?

    Cramer hasn't proven any ability to beat the market in his time at CNBC. He's not one to listen to for advice. That said, nor is Cathie Wood. Many of her purchases could be best described as FOMO. Congrats on her big bet on Tesla. Many retail traders made the same bet. There's endless amounts of...
  17. K

    is Cathie Wood’s fund in trouble?

    She was buying ZM at a 60+ P:S Ratio. The average for the S&P is like 3. It would have to grow at 25%/year for the next 10 years just to get to that level (basically the rate that Amazon grew).
  18. K

    Uneventful markets today

    There hasn't been any nice waves in months. Not in anything with significant volume anyways. A stock can go up 500% like ISPO today and the chart is still choppy. You don't see a bid stepping up or offer stepping down in anything anymore. It's all hide and squeeze/drop. You send an order the...
  19. K

    U.S. household debt increased by $1 trillion in 2021, the most since 2007

    Irrational exuberance as always lol. It looks like we are back to the ole boom/bust cycle that comes with a hot economy and inflation. The slow, but steady growth/low inflation of the 2010's was an anomaly. When it crashes we'll probably quickly spend a shit ton in stimulus to prop it up again...
  20. K

    U.S. household debt increased by $1 trillion in 2021, the most since 2007

    All the charts I can find on debt to GDP are updated through Q2. Debt and inflation have been taking off since Q3.
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